Jack Hershey – MACD and Stochastics helpers for 123 and FTT's

Discussion in 'Journals' started by callmate, Dec 31, 2007.

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  1. My bigger problem is coming out of the iceberg of the chart that was posted. You come R2R out of the iceberg, going short, but there was nothing there. Good clue was the MACD less than 1.0, -1.0, and the volume was decreasing.

    So if you're short at the R2R, when/what is the clue you needed to reverse, not knowing if you're going to have an FBO or not ? Looks like the bottom of that was the new pt. 2 out of the iceberg FTT.

    If you're short, you're actually on the right side of the market, but the creep back to the pt. 3 spooks me out, thinking I'm not (on the right side).
     
    #111     Feb 7, 2008
  2. I understand the logging, but I don't quite understand this part of it. Presuming 1-FTT, 2-BO, then is 3 LTL ??, 4-VE, is 5 a non-dom retrace ? Not quite getting this, wondering if someone could post an example of this.
     
    #112     Feb 7, 2008
  3. Padawan

    Padawan

    NC1, I'm not sure. These are good questions and worth delving into. The log confounds me right now, but it's about time to just start posting a few and maybe Jack can fix them up when he gets back from his trip. There are some old ones we can dig up.

    Before today, I was only looking at the +/- .4 in the context of rockets. Thanks for suggesting another way to use it.

    Will reply to you with some potential answers and maybe we can all figure these things out in the meantime.
     
    #113     Feb 7, 2008
  4. ericta

    ericta

    I didn't study Jack's iceberg method fully.
    But my guess is "the shadow" is the price range in a specific period of time. Think of stoch level as (dynamic) Fibonacci level, it gives guide lines for short term retrace. When the price cross 50% Fibonacci, it does mean something, but do we treat every cross the same? We don't.
     
    #114     Feb 7, 2008
  5. Padawan

    Padawan

    ES drill

    Thanks, Tums and ericta.
     
    #115     Feb 7, 2008
  6. Padawan

    Padawan

    YM
     
    #116     Feb 7, 2008
  7. Padawan

    Padawan


    Ok, just based on my observations from that example, we never had a MACD crossover going up. Also, by the time the fast STOCH was crossing up past its 50 line, the slow STOCH was creeping below its 50 line. And just when it looked like price was going to head back up after coming close to the 20 SMA, we had a pennant formation and the fast STOCH dipped back below the 50 line again (it's close, but looks like a reading of 49 on my charting software). We never got the increasing black volume surge to confirm a possible fbo of the 20 SMA. Instead, the volume surge turned out to be increasing red, right after the pennant.

    Anything you think I'm adding, imagining or leaving out? I'm not sure what's most important. Comments welcome.

    Attached is a snip showing the area I'm referring to. It's possible I misinterpreted the exit of the iceberg (hopefully real icebergs will still be around if people read this in a few years). Going over these charts (the right or wrong way) is heightening awareness. Hope this helps.
     
    #117     Feb 7, 2008
  8. Padawan

    Padawan

     
    #118     Feb 7, 2008
  9. Padawan

    Padawan

    Here's a little log info stored on my computer along with a doc I found on how to do the log. If I remember correctly, there are several logs posted in The Stochastic Indicator Thread as well as the Jack Hershey Trading thread and elsewhere.
     
    #119     Feb 7, 2008
  10. Padawan

    Padawan

    Old log. Not an insult. (Ok, ok, yes I'm getting sleepy.)
     
    #120     Feb 7, 2008
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