BTW,Trump is -11 in that same poll.Less than 2 months in office and already starting to be double digit negative in polls. Trump became net negative in RCP aggregate polling today too.
Better keep an eye on M. Cuban. Why do you think Destriero disappeared and this time, never came back? Marc better vet the ET posts before he gets too chummy though... if he wants to win that is.
Not to early.Dem candidate does not need to be known yet.A racist 34x's convicted felon under multiple indictments who owes hundreds of millions for rape related and fraud lawsuits who was impeached twice, lost by 7 million votes and left office with an approval rating in the 30's was able to beat an incumbent/incumbent party with a net negative approval rating. A putz like Joe Biden was a was able to beat an incumbent/incumbent party with a net negative approval rating. Trump with near certainty will have a net negative approval rating in 2028.
Your analysis is way too early, extremely misguided and singularly useless. For one, you haven't even considered that The Dem Party is in dissolution mode right now and may actually end up being a 3rd party or worse.
Your analysis is extremely misguided and singularly useless.My analysis is based on 2 extremely highly probable events based on history. Trumps approval will be lower at the end of his term than beginning (only 3 of 14 presidents had a higher approval rating at the end of their 1st term than beginning and Trump has NEVER had a net positive approval on Gallup in his 1st or 2nd term),meaning Trump will have a negative approval rating in Nov 2028 since he already has one now and that the party wont win with Trump having a negative approval rating because no party has ever won when that partys incumbent had a negative approval rating.
The odds of the Dem Party being a minor party in 4 years is so minuscule your analysis is ridiculous,misguided and singularly useless. The last 6 presidents had a lower approval rating at the end of their term than beginning and every president with negative net approval ratings party lost the White House including the last 2 elections.When was the last time a major party became a minor party?