Trump already has a -6 approval on Gallup. Presidents generally have a lower approval at the end of their terms than beginning. No incumbent or incumbent party has ever kept The White House when they had a net negative approval rating on Gallup. Very useful analysis.
Doesn't matter,Trump just proved that winning in November.What matters is the incumbents approval rating.If its negative,the incumbent or incumbent party will lose.Has happened 100% of the time.
That was around Trumps final 1st term Gallup approval rating,and he won in 2024.Trump last having an approval rating in the 30's didn't matter.What mattered is Biden/the incumbent had a negative approval rating. When an incumbent had a negative approval the American people have voted them or their party out, every time.