I am going to guess RLS settlement, this Friday...... 805 ish... hopefully, a little higher than that.
Doesn't take a genius to see that there are clearly define channels on a point and figure chart.. Is it 100%, no... Can i take a position expecting a positive result more time than not... yes
Don't lose sight of the fundamentals. I sell put spreads on rut a lot for consistent monthly profits. I have a pretty good feel for it. I chose not to sell June puts this round when my May's expired because we are now totally far and away from the fundamentals. If there is even a decent possibility of rut dropping 10% in the month, I don't sell insurance on it. Here is my record on it this year (below)