Ivan's Trade Thread, part II

Discussion in 'Forex' started by Ivanovich, Sep 12, 2008.

  1. Nice.
     
    #901     Jan 5, 2009
  2. Short, EUR/USD @ 1.3629, 200,000 units for 1.32 range. Stop is at 1.3684.
     
    #902     Jan 5, 2009
  3. Feel free to delete my thread (EUR/USD) I just posted... this covers it.

    Why 32? Why not 28/29?
     
    #903     Jan 5, 2009
  4. Because the 11 wk average comes in around there. This is how I "roll" :)

    Just part of my method. I do not see the end of the down move until the low 1.20s, though. That's where I see this shaking out in a few months. But there will be bounces to get out and back in again.
     
    #904     Jan 5, 2009
  5. fseitun

    fseitun

    Ivan

    What makes you think we'll see the low 20s in the next few months? Any particular reason?

    I am asking because that's also the same target I have for this downmove.

    Regards.
     
    #905     Jan 5, 2009
  6. I have a host of fundamental reasons, but mostly it has to do with the situation in the EZ being far worse than people are taking into account, a possible split to the EU (wherein one or more countries leave the Euro) in the next few years, and the US economy climbing out of it's recession slowly, causing a contraction in the spread of rates between the two "countries".
     
    #906     Jan 5, 2009
  7. Closed at break even as the picture setting up is not attractive. Will look to re-enter and sell into strength.
     
    #907     Jan 5, 2009
  8. Signal generated for the same trade, entered at 1.3620 (200,000 units, same stop).
     
    #908     Jan 5, 2009
  9. Trade looking better. Stop moved to break even + 1 to lock in a pip.
     
    #909     Jan 6, 2009
  10. A little better than breakeven!
    It's dropping faster than I anticipated, nice call.
     
    #910     Jan 6, 2009