Ivan's Trade Thread, part II

Discussion in 'Forex' started by Ivanovich, Sep 12, 2008.

  1. Short USDCAD

    Hourly chart, fib resistance @ 1.2459 (already broken but price bar closing below that in 15 minutes should confirm validity)

    Entry: 1.2443

    Stop Exit: 1.2483
    Profit Exit: 1.2350
     
    #1021     Jan 14, 2009
  2. Good question - me too. The pair has been trading from 1.85 - 2.05/2.10 since its October runup. I can't imagine things in the outback are much worse, or as bad, as things in the EZ. I'm a small-position shorter at 2.005 - 2.01 if I'm watching when it hits.
     
    #1022     Jan 14, 2009
  3. All the commodity currencies are weak. Increased risk of global recession implies worse outlook for commodity prices hence the sell off. A stronger USD doesn't help either. Support for Kiwi at 5200, for AUD around 60-61.
     
    #1023     Jan 14, 2009
  4. Right. Mining operations are huge in Australia.
     
    #1024     Jan 14, 2009
  5. Stopped out on USDCAD short
     
    #1025     Jan 14, 2009
  6. thanks...great answer...I really need to be headed towards setting orders and not 5-10 minute trades...
     
    #1026     Jan 14, 2009
  7. I took a small short position in EURAUD. Looks to me like it may work lower over the longer term. I will stay short unless the downtrend line is violated on a daily close basis.

    Short @ 1.9976
     
    #1027     Jan 14, 2009
  8. USDCAD is a bit confusing to me. Looks like it is a critical stage to leg up or down again. Looks like it might head down to 1.12 area again to me.

    I am short @1.2472
     
    #1028     Jan 14, 2009
  9. USDCAD
    I just entered 3/5 of a short position @ 1.2450. This is a tough one though - very bullish on a daily basis.
    Limit Exit: 1.20

    EURAUD
    Short Entry: 2.0007
    Stop Exit: 2.0075
    Limit Exit: 1.9650

    Stops will be adjusted on a gut-basis.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    #1029     Jan 14, 2009
  10. EUR/AUD has been in a range for over 6 hours.
    When it breaks, it will be big, in my experience.
    If it stays below 1.9900 for a while.
    Been climbing since the 6th, still plenty of room.
     
    #1030     Jan 14, 2009