IV Smile and Firm Fundamentals

Discussion in 'Options' started by .sigma, Jul 18, 2020.

  1. .sigma

    .sigma

    spray & pray, chef
     
    #61     Jul 30, 2020
    ironchef likes this.
  2. So, assuming I absolutely need to get filled within a 10 minute window before close and will take whatever they have in mind, I will be without condoms and entirely at the mercy of a gaggle of lascivious strippers/sirens, poised to roll me randomly but predictably. Sounds like I need a bigger window, but it wouldn't matter much anyway.

    Inspired by this metaphor wrapped insight, I've temporarily decided to take a nihilist stance on the MM slippage issue. I always knew I was in a casino anyway.
     
    #62     Jul 30, 2020
  3. Payment For Order Flow a.k.a. HRHMM (How Robin Hood Makes Money)
     
    #63     Jul 30, 2020
  4. Atikon

    Atikon

    What is a realistic solution for a retail trader in your experience? Sending market orders? FOK? Or legging in with market orders in complex positions?
     
    #64     Jul 30, 2020
  5. ironchef

    ironchef

    :thumbsup::thumbsup:

    Now I know those were not coincidences. :banghead:

    Even with zero commissions I am still paying for my broker's yacht. No wonder he is so nice to me. :D
     
    #65     Jul 30, 2020
  6. ironchef

    ironchef

    Next time I leave my wallet at home. :D
     
    #66     Jul 30, 2020
  7. ironchef

    ironchef

    Looked like the MM are repricing BMY/RT today. It is looking better after BMY re-submitted bb2121 filing to the FDA.

    @lightfightercap, I am still waiting for your response to my question.

    Thanks.
     
    #67     Jul 30, 2020
  8. Earnings strangles or straddles or condors with roughly equal deltas, on equities that move less than people expect
     
    #68     Aug 2, 2020
    ironchef likes this.
  9. ironchef

    ironchef

    So, similar reasoning: I should have a different opinion than market on that equity move. Thank you I appreciate the answer.

    Instead of doing a straight I will try that next time. How do you determine width if a strangle or condor and do you also consider wing protection?
     
    #69     Aug 3, 2020
  10. I use a version of the expected move formula, probably similar to the ToS MMM formula. At first I did not use wings, then I did, now I don't 80% of the time. It is counter intuitive but backtesting reveal that wings=higher SD, no wings= lower SD. Losses are technically unlimited without wings, but the losses are much higher with wings than without over time. I chose reliability of returns and lower SD over higher expected value, but thats a personal choice.
     
    #70     Aug 3, 2020
    ironchef likes this.