I think its from a John Mauldin perma-bear gold bug presentation. However, I would like to know how he got $46 as well (mauldin) or gnome
Getting back to this issue, I believe that 2007 operating earnings for the S&P was $82.50 A 33% decline gets you down to $55.00
================= Agree with much of that.Maria; more here. QQQQ went dwn lot more than 50% ,sure it bounced there ,then; total 80+% peak to valley downtrend. a]Much more concentrated / fragile fuel & food systems, than '29. b]Now Israel & USA ememies have & more almost have nukes. c]And sucide bombers were limited to Japan , generally;lots more now Actually monthly /last month high retests are quite common in bear markets ; its a wonder we havent seem more.May see one in DEC Murray:
Good thread title. Wrong conclusion. I'll wring every last penny from the rally, but after Christmas, you'll be able to cut the gloom with a knife.
Well, so far it looks right...and bear in mind, I'm only calling for a bear market rally in stocks...it's what we are getting (5 straight up days since the post)... Look to the USD for direction - stronger and stocks fall along with the rest of the energy/metals/grains complexes... if it breaks down (as the charts suggest it might) then we continue rallying in stocks (target for Spoo is 945ish and then 1007...and perhaps a probe up to the 1050 area)...