It's over. Historical bull run has come to an end.

Discussion in 'Trading' started by orbit23, Feb 27, 2020.

  1. 83,000 cases. 2800 deaths. 33000 recovered. 46.5k currently infected.

    Out of a global population over 7 billion.

    That is not enough, in my opinion, to alter the economy. Other than in people's sentiment.

    It's not exactly the Bubonic Plague where 33% of the population died.
     
    #21     Feb 27, 2020
    comagnum likes this.
  2. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    True. The Black Plague died off eventually because there was no people left to infect....

    Japanese lady got infected twice, not very good for the CDC immunologists.

    Here is a game for you called: Pandemic, but if you like to play the role of the virus, Plague Inc.
     
    Last edited: Feb 27, 2020
    #22     Feb 27, 2020
  3. 2% of China is going to die? Lol.

    Currently it's 2747 deaths in China out of 1.4 billion population.

    That's 0.0002% You'd have to multiply that by 10,000 to reach 2%.
     
    #23     Feb 27, 2020
    comagnum likes this.
  4. Overnight

    Overnight

    Yes, but it is all about context now. It is the sensationalism of a non-issue.

    It is like when a hurricane is going to hit Anytown, USA. What is the reaction of everyone? To horde and empty out every damned grocery store in sight, with weeks worth of food, water and whatever else. It never gets that bad on the mainland, where you will be weeks without food or water. Power? Maybe. Water? Never. Food? Never.

    It will alter the economy if all the snowflakes out there call-in sick because they have the sniffles (which will now be most likely due to allergies with an early spring), which WILL affect productivity in the country.
     
    #24     Feb 27, 2020
  5. comagnum

    comagnum

    The rotation out of the indexes prior to & through this sell off has been mainly to the treasuries and some into the Swiss Franc.

    There is a reason why professional traders watch the 10 year like a hawk.
     
    #25     Feb 27, 2020
    Real Money likes this.
  6. Overnight

    Overnight

    Yeah, the CDC people should look up lyme disease. Same shit. Even if you don't have lyme after it has cleared your system, your blood will still show markers for it.
     
    #26     Feb 27, 2020
    DTB2 and Spooz Top 2 like this.
  7. ZBZB

    ZBZB

    One phone call to China and one tweet about phase 2 trade talks and the market will rally.
     
    #27     Feb 27, 2020
  8. Overnight

    Overnight

    Not this time. People will know that Kudlow and Mnuchin are now too busy on Pence's Virus Task Force to bother with trade. Gotta' have priorities.

    SPACE FORCE!
     
    #28     Feb 27, 2020
  9. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    You said the death rate was 2%. But that is not the point. Fear is...

    You probably don't remember the early days of AIDS. When we didn't know much about it. Barbers stopped shaving clients, etc. It did effect the economy.

    Sure, the markets like to over react. But the virus was just the trigger, we have been ready for a correction for quite sometimes...

    My modesty predicted the top and I didn't base it on the virus...
     
    #29     Feb 27, 2020
  10. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    For those who don't have enough imagination or don't remember early AIDS:

     
    #30     Feb 27, 2020