It's over. Historical bull run has come to an end.

Discussion in 'Trading' started by orbit23, Feb 27, 2020.

  1. S2007S

    S2007S

    Not too bad.

    Just as I expected 350-500 futures point drop at open

    FUTURES
    INDEX CLOSE CUR FUTURE CHANGE
    25,409.36 25,073 -291
    FAIR VALUE FUTURES (38.36)
    FAIR VAL CLOSE CUR FUTURE IMPL OPEN
    25,402.36 25,073 -329.36
    Last updated: Sun Mar 01 2020 | 6:39 PM EST
     
    #251     Mar 1, 2020
  2. Overnight

    Overnight

    Here's a funny little bit o' stuff I have noticed...

    During the last few months, average volume on ES was, oh, 1-to-1.5 million lots. On those days, the market ended higher.

    On days passing a certain threshold, say 2 mil lots, the market ended down. And certainly, during the past 7 trading days, the ES volume has been 2 mil+ And every day was a down day.

    Something to chew on.

    If you look at your volume numbers at 8AM ET tomorrow, and you see volume at 800K to 1 million? You will prolly see a day closing in the red.
     
    #252     Mar 1, 2020
  3. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    Day traders caution since likely lots of circuit breaker halts on various stocks will occur randomly intraday next week

    Hope my TVIX doesn't do a XIV and implode on extreme volatility
     
    #253     Mar 1, 2020
  4. padutrader

    padutrader

    on THE HOURLY

    so far attempts at up moves have failed

    recently market has tried to go down 5 times and failed.

    so market will go up, until it starts to fail to go up

    possible magnets and targets :3095 3183..STOP below 2852.

    I would not take this trade myself because I prefer to see at least 3 attempts at highs or lows before I think about entering.



    but just to illustrate a way of thinking
     
    Last edited: Mar 1, 2020
    #254     Mar 1, 2020
  5. padutrader

    padutrader

    that would not surprise me either.

    I have been watching markets since 1994
     
    #255     Mar 1, 2020
  6. padutrader

    padutrader

    most times, the market tries to sense which way the wind is blowing before deciding.

    this is the dangerous time for trading except if you are a hard core scalper with nerves of steel.
    high volume only means more transactions are happening ……..the market only moves in a direction to facilitate transactions.
    if more transactions are happening market will not search anymore and will settle down.

    expect the market to get range bound
     
    #256     Mar 1, 2020
  7. Overnight

    Overnight

    A range from 8000 to 9500 (in NQ) is not comforting.
     
    #257     Mar 1, 2020
  8. volente_00

    volente_00

    5 mil e's Friday and that sure as hell was not ma and pa creating that green volume candle in the last 30 minutes

    Amateurs open a market
    Pros close it
     
    #258     Mar 1, 2020
    Sekiyo and padutrader like this.
  9. padutrader

    padutrader

    market does not exist for your's or anybody else's comfort or happiness or well being.
     
    #259     Mar 1, 2020
  10. S2007S

    S2007S

    Yep. Just as I thought. Weak markets always mean the fed will bow down

    Zero rates coming. Yes and then negative rates just as I predicted for about 3 years. Its finally coming to wallstreet


    Unthinkable a few weeks ago, Wall Street sees a chance of rates falling as low as zero this year
    PUBLISHED MON, MAR 2 20208:26 AM ESTUPDATED AN HOUR AGO



    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/02/wal...interest-rates-falling-to-zero-by-summer.html
     
    #260     Mar 2, 2020