These really could end up +4% for Biden. Trump won't be able to steal that. He's down by like 10% right now. The math is very complicated.
Joe is down 510K in PA with 1.1MM net party-line votes coming. Not even the GOP can make those disappear. And which is more likely? Dems voting across party or GOP? That 1.1MM net very well could be 1.2MM or more. This could be a 500K Penn-win for Joe.
The biggest surprise so far in this election is Susan Collins, but ME does ranked choice and they haven't called it yet so I don't really know what's going on there. However, her margin over Trump is substantial.
NC might be in play for Biden, no? He's down 1.4% with 94% in. Once again, I don't know where the missing vote is. However, Biden is more optimistic about GA than NC. Both of those states are important for the Senate.
No, and there are 260K independent mail-ins cast in PA. You can assign all of those to Trumptard and he'd still lose PA.
But how did Trump get even this far? And this after 4 years of daily exposure to his incompetence, narcissism, and stupidity?
I believe AZ, MI and WI give it to Biden... democrats need to learn an important lesson from Trump in 2016 and if they win not to gloat or go all hellfire. The greatest demonstration of our Consittution is the peaceful transfer of power between opposing political parties that happens rarely anywhere else in the world. Dems acted like babies for 2 years after the election that any frosh poly sci major could have pointed out clearly why Trump won. Now if Biden wins, celebrate the night when this is final and innauguration day...... but still realize you aint done shit yet like you promised....no one likes gloating bitches, the best revenge is simply to win and move on with the job of government.