I admit I was premature calling this mostly based on the vote I was seeing in OH which really flipped to Trump later. Shouldn't have said bet the house. That's poor risk management, but I never felt like Trump was going to win. However, I did lose my confidence in my bet the house prediction, because I felt he had a narrow path. Because of my claims yesterday my ego has been knocked down a little, but I'm pretty sure Biden's going to win. Trying to give a percentage for saying that is about as worthless as these polls. I would be surprised if Trump wins though and it's 100% based on where I believe the vote is. I'm not one of those people who says Trump will lose, because he's alienated America, blablabla, I look at data. Obviously some of the data is shitty like these polls. However, I think the dynamics of demographics are much more reliable, because they are actual results, not thrown off my poor sampling. I'm not sure about PA, but NV, MI, and WI are all he needs. GA and PA are less clear. I'm not sure where that missing vote is in NC either. However, the Biden campaign doesn't seem that confident in it.
There's no path to Trump winning at this point short of the Supreme Court, recounts and legal challenges. I wish I could say that won't happen and we could move on, but it will.
Yeah, if NV, MI, and WI are with Biden it's over. Give Trump PA, GA, and NC, it doesn't matter. Biden can very well win with 270. That NE-2 could be huge.
NV, MI and WI will go Biden, that's my prediction. Trump takes the other three. that's where we are. But NV, MI and WI will be within range to challenge via recount.
That is true. But it does not change the fact that he is a dictator wannabe, having more in common with thuggish leaders than allies. It doesn't change the fact that he was embraced by bigots and that mainstream Republicans began to (finally) distance themselves from him. It doesn't change the fact that he is a lying fraudster who has always left tears in his wake with just about everyone who dealt with him for any length of time. It doesn't change the fact that he can't focus or plan, and just shoots from the hip, and only in his own interest and at the expense of everyone else (think rallies). And this was all in evidence for the last 4 years. AND STILL, supposedly thinking people voted for him. It is a national embarrassment. I was embarrassed when Stephen Harper was reelected here in Canada. But this right now, just the fact that the results are even in contention, is over the top. And the fucking idiot declared victory yesterday?! Who does that?! And who votes for such a fuckwit?!
Democrats brought this fiasco. There is no reason for mass mailing of ballots. Unless, an absentee ballot was requested, it should not automatically, be mailed out. If most voting took place in precincts as it should be, we would have had the results last night and it would have been accepted by most Americans as being a fair and honest election. Delaying results needlessly, for reasons known only to election officials, puts the outcome in doubt. I do not care if it winds up in court because there are serious issues now of possible mass fraud being committed by elections officials themselves.