So what do the folks here think? I give it a 50/50 chance now that the EU will cave and bail out Greece. Given that the cost of insuring Greek debt against default is now at a record high, the rumblings in the news are that Brussels is considering bailing it out. They may have learned the lesson from the Lehman episode of what happens when you don't bail out the dead weight. Of course then there's the issue of who else will line up for a bailout once you set precedence, AND the fact that Germans might be a tad put out about bailing out Greeks. It's one thing to see how mad the American public gets when it has to bail out American banks on Wall Street. But what happens when somewhat fiscally responsible Germans are faced with paying for Greek social programs? Sure, we're all one EU, but does Nationalism ever come into that?