Iterative Refinement

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Spydertrader, Jan 3, 2008.

  1. How does one know that the channel is forming at 11:15 ?
    I have seen accelerated traverses followed by channel in an opposite direction.
     
    #8221     Oct 5, 2008
  2. dkm

    dkm

    I'm not sure that one does know. Having had a dominant traverse and knowing that traverses make channels, it wouldn't be unreasonable to anticipate a non-dominant traverse and then another dominant traverse to form a channel. It all depends of course where one is in the sequence.
     
    #8222     Oct 5, 2008
  3. I don't think one can anticipate anything other than another traverse after the first blue accelerated traverse. Here's an example I was referring to in my previous post:
    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=1995057#post1995057
    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1995275
     
    #8223     Oct 5, 2008
  4. dkm

    dkm

    That would suggest that one cannot anticipate channels forming. :eek: Perhaps this is not critical anyway since we are aiming to trade each traverse anyway. It's just useful to know the context of each traverse.
     
    #8224     Oct 5, 2008
  5. I think one can anticipate a channel forming. After two traverses, dom and non-dom, WMCN is a 2nd dom traverse, which completes a channel. I just don't think one can anticipate a channel forming based on an accelerated traverse.

    On unrelated note, I 'see' some similarities between yesterday and 07-15-08 in terms of fractal nature of context for change signals.

    It seems to me that yesterday signal for change existed for the blue accelerated traverse, but not for the green traverse (which later became a channel).

    And IMO on 07-15-08 signal for change exists for an accelerated orange traverse but not for a pink traverse (which never became a channel).

    Some strange and fascinating things.
     
    #8225     Oct 5, 2008
  6. <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=2106675>
     
    #8226     Oct 5, 2008
  7. <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=2106680>
     
    #8227     Oct 5, 2008
  8. I encourage you to review what you know as a result of a 'pre-flight check' prior to the opening bell on the day in question.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #8228     Oct 5, 2008
  9. ptunic

    ptunic

    Thanks!

    I'm using your spreadsheet now, very helpful.
     
    #8229     Oct 5, 2008
  10. ptunic

    ptunic

    Attaching analysis of ES 09/22/2008 so-far. This is at beginner/forest-level.
     
    #8230     Oct 5, 2008