Iterative Refinement

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Spydertrader, Jan 3, 2008.

  1. Padawan

    Padawan

    Volume behaved similarly and differently to other lateral movement areas I've witnessed depending on the context.

    In this specific example, the lateral movement area displayed both increasing black and increasing red volume. I thought that was interesting.
     
    #3721     May 19, 2008
  2. Thank you for pointing those out! One big AHA! for today:D
     
    #3722     May 19, 2008
  3. The 12:58 [Close of] YM Bar signals change for the reasons mentioned, and we 'see' the 13:00 [close of] YM Bar confirm this signal for change. However, you already know the ES is moving between Point Two and Point Three. Since the YM 'cycles' 2.5 times as fast as the ES, a trader can, 1. follow the signal and trade between Points Two and Three, or, 2. Hold through Points Two and Three. At the ES [close of] 13:05 Bar, we have a BO of Lateral Movement on increasing black Volume. WMCN? More increasing black. Else we know to expect the trend to change.

    However, The Ym (during this same time period ([close of] 13:04 and 13:06) we 'see' Price moving higher on decreasing black Volume followed by IBGS (or 'IF1 - depending on one's datafeed) - both of which provide signals for change.

    Such an event in the current context, tells the trader to expect the Point Three Down Channel to materialize - which does on the very next [close of 13:10 ES] Bar. Price then moves lower on decreasing red Volume ([close of] ES 13:15 Bar), and since we know, decreasing dominant Volume after a Point Three signals change, the action step required becomes crystal clear. Just in case, we can also see the YM ([close of] 13:14 bar) also head lower on decreasing Volume. Clearly a signal for change.

    Bingo.

    HTH.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #3723     May 19, 2008
  4. The market signaled a Point Three down channel and a Point Three Up Channel within this specific example of Lateral Movement.

    Perhaps, context, in this specific example, differs a great deal more than what first appears.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #3724     May 19, 2008
  5. Padawan

    Padawan

    :D I can see it now. Thank you. And thanks, Romanus. :D
     
    #3725     May 19, 2008
  6. Thanks, it does! This stuff is really cool:D
     
    #3726     May 19, 2008
  7. You should now have the ability to do the same thing beginning at 13:30 [close of] ES Bar (all times eastern, BTW). Based on your current skill set, only one Bar should give you a problem between then and now.

    Bonus Question: Where does the answer reside for that one bar?

    - Spydertrader
     
    #3727     May 19, 2008
  8. Point 3 down ..... price drop like a rock....:D
     
    #3728     May 19, 2008
  9. Padawan

    Padawan

    YM
     
    #3729     May 19, 2008
  10. Find the one bar, and see if you give the same answer.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #3730     May 19, 2008