The writer of that article is a fucking idiot if he thinks Trump approval with Blacks were ever that high. Since Trump has been elected blacks have been having some if the highest turnout ever to vote against Trump.More blacks voted for Doug Jones than Obama in Al.More blacks turned out in the 2018 mid terms than any of Obamas mid terms.They turning out in record numbers because they hate Trump.
Misleading because black voter turnout was much lower in 2016 than it was in 2012.Had Romeny had the same low black voter turnout Trump had he would have beat Obama. 2 points is also in within any polls margin of error.
Remember black voters stayed home in 2016.Can Trump win with 8 % of the black vote when black voters come out like they did in 2008 or 2012?...No chance. ://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/332970-voter-turnout-dipped-in-2016-led-by-decline-among-blacks Voter turnout dipped in 2016, led by decline among blacks By Reid Wilson - 05/11/17 02:05 PM EDT The percentage of eligible Americans who showed up to the polls in November dipped slightly to the lowest rate in sixteen years, led by a sharp drop-off in the number of black voters casting ballots. New data released Wednesday by the Census Bureau shows an estimated 61.4 percent of Americans over the age of 18 cast ballots, down from the 61.8 percent who voted in 2012 and well below the 63.8 percent who voted in 2004, the recent high-point of voter participation. White voters were most likely to turn out; 65.3 percent of whites told Census Bureau surveyors they voted in 2016, more than a full percentage point higher than their participation rate in 2012. But voter turnout among black voters fell almost seven percentage points, to 59.4 percent, the Census figures show — after hitting an all-time high of 66.2 percent in 2012. Fewer than half of Asian Americans and Hispanic Americans turned out to vote; 49 percent of Asians and 47.6 percent of those of Hispanic origin showed up to the polls last year. Demographers point to declining black turnout and relatively low Hispanic turnout — two voting blocs on whom Democrats are increasingly reliant — as two of a handful of reasons Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton fell short in a handful of key battleground states last year. Black turnout fell 2 points and Hispanic turnout tumbled by a whopping 34 points in Michigan, a state President Trump won by just over 10,000 votes after Clinton fell short of matching President Obama's vote totals in Detroit. In Wisconsin, another state Trump barely won, fewer than half of black voters cast a ballot; four years ago, when Obama carried the state, 78 percent of blacks voted. Turnout among black voters fell seven points in Florida, and turnout among Hispanic voters there, who make up critical voting blocs stretching from Miami-Dade County to Orlando, fell eight points. That ended a streak of four consecutive elections in which black and Hispanic voters showed up in increasing numbers. At the same time, white voters, who disproportionally backed Trump, turned out at a slightly higher rate in Florida than they had in 2012. "These numbers point up a fairly pervasive decline in black turnout along with modest though uneven gains for whites," said William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institute. The declining turnout and Republicans' success in winning over more white voters "helped to explain shifts to Trump in several swing states." November's contests were decided by an electorate that looked whiter than what many demographers had expected. Between 1980 and 2012, the share of the electorate made up of non-Hispanic whites dropped from 87.6 percent to 73.7 percent; in 2016, demographers expected that number to drop again, as the diverse millennial generation takes on a larger role in the body politic, replacing older generations that were less racially diverse. But the Census Bureau data shows that 73.3 percent of the electorate in 2016 was made up of non-Hispanic whites, a statistically insignificant drop from four years before. The unexpected stasis, even as the country becomes more racially diverse, is explained by the drop in minority turnout. That made 2016 only the second election since 1980 that the share of the electorate made up of non-Hispanic whites did not decline by a significant margin. The decline in black participation is all the more stark after 2012, when for the first time the Census Bureau said blacks voted at a higher share than non-Hispanic whites. Still, the percentage of blacks who voted in 2016 was six points higher than the recent nadir, in 1996, when only 53 percent of blacks cast a ballot. The data offers both hope and warning signs to Democrats plotting their political comeback, and Republicans trying to hold on to their victories. On one hand, the data shows Democrats can chart a path back to political power by boosting turnout even at the margins among Hispanic and black voters. The party does not need to replicate Obama's 2008 and 2012 turnout machines; it simply needs to come close in large urban centers in key states like Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Florida. On the other, it shows the demographic shift that threatens to doom Republicans — who are more reliant than ever on white voters — is manifesting itself more slowly in the electorate than in the population as a whole. That fact gives Republicans time to build new inroads to minority communities, where the party has struggled to attract support. Younger voters grew as a share of the electorate, both as more millennials reach voting age and as they become turnout targets for both parties. Michael McDonald, a political scientist at the University of Florida, said turnout among voters between 18 and 29 years of age grew by 2.5 percentage points, the largest increase of any age group. But older voters are still much more likely to cast a ballot: More than 70 percent of those over the age of 65 voted in November, far higher than the 43.4 percent of 18-29 year olds who voted. Two-thirds of those between the ages of 45 and 64 voted, according to Frey's analysis. The Census Bureau's data relies on a survey the agency conducts to supplement the much larger Current Population Survey. Other surveys have concluded that a smaller number of eligible voters actually cast ballots: One study for the group Nonprofit Vote, in which McDonald took part, found 60.2 percent of the nation's 231 million eligible voters cast a ballot in November. That figure was higher than the percentage of eligible voters who turned out in presidential elections between 1972 and 2000, though it fell below the recent pinnacle achieved in 2008
Trump will win 2020. “I can give an unqualified ‘yes’ on the idea that the president will be more popular on Election Day with blacks in 2020 than he was in 2016,” said Horace Cooper of Project 21 Black Leadership Network, a conservative public policy group. He pointed to the African-American unemployment rate, which reached a record low in 2018 of 5.9 percent, and the large number of African-Americans who no longer need food stamps under Trump. African-Americans have reliably voted Democratic since 1948, a trend that is unlikely to change. But a Morning Consult poll taken March 15 shows Trump’s approval rating among blacks sits at 12 percent, four percentage points higher than the eight percent of black Americans who voted for Trump in 2016. Teachers’ unions step up fight against charter schools Watch Full Screen to Skip Ads And according to Cooper, a two or three percent shift in the black vote in certain states, such as Wisconsin, Florida and Texas, could make a big difference in the election — though Cooper predicted an increase of four to five percent of the black vote for Trump, which “would put between four and six more states in play that Trump didn’t carry last time.” Pennsylvania and Michigan are other states with relatively large African-American populations where the vote was about as close as it could be in 2016, with Trump barely winning. A top political operative working on behalf of Trump also highlighted the importance of swing states. “If he’s even able to peel off one or two points, that could be enough to swing a state like Wisconsin, and that could make a big difference,” the operative said. The operative argued that if Trump can maintain a strong economy and capitalize on the success of criminal justice reform legislation he signed in December, an important issue among black voters that is “very easy to market,” then he has a shot at getting enough of the black vote to help swing the election. Republican National Committee spokesman Steve Guest said 2020 would be a “clear choice” for Americans. “Our plan remains to go after every single vote,” he said. He said the RNC has held and continues to hold tax reform panels, small business workshops, home buyers’ workshops, and other events in several states, which he said help “build and strengthen relationships with the African American community.” A senior White House official told the Examiner that the president has not received enough credit for policies that have helped African-Americans. “The media hasn’t always covered his work and outreach with African Americans and other minorities,” the official said. “It would be great if people would cover some of the work that we’ve done.” Among these accomplishments, in addition to criminal justice reform and a record-low black unemployment rate, are hurricane loan forgiveness for historically black colleges and universities and investment in "opportunity zones" to help low-income communities. Trump has also set aside $1 billion in his 2020 budget for child care access in underserved populations. “President Trump’s incredible record of achievement and vision for making America even greater should appeal to all voters, whomever they are,” Trump campaign press secretary Kayleigh McEnany said. “The results are undeniable.” https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/...trump-can-pick-up-black-voter-support-in-2020
Fantasy vs reality. https://www.usnews.com/news/politic...-to-the-polls-to-choose-democrats?context=amp Trump Drove Black Voters to the Polls – to Choose Democrats Susan Milligan • Nov. 19, 2018, at 3:40 p.m. He's no Barack Obama. But President Donald Trump is having his own motivating effect on African-American voters, whooverwhelmingly cast votes for Democrats in this month's midterms – in large part because of the damage Trump has done to the GOP brand, according to pollsters who surveyed African-Americans immediately before the elections. Nine out of 10 African-Americans surveyed on the eve of the election said they werevoting or had already voted early for aDemocrat in the congressional races, up from 77 percent who said so in July, according to the survey by the African American Research Collaborative. And while a number of GOPcandidates distanced themselves from their party's controversial leader or just tried to ignore him, polling showed Trump might as well have been on the ballot himself, the survey indicated. Nearly 8 in 10 African-Americans said Trump made them "angry," while 85 percent of black women and 81 percent of black men said Trump made them feel "disrespected," according to the study. Similar majorities of African-American voters – 89 percent of women and 83 percent of men – said Trump's statements and policies will cause "a major setback to racial progress." That Trump effect filtered down to damage even candidates in the Northeast and California, where the GOP contenders did not necessarily align with the president, and may have affected other ballot choices as well, Henry Fernandez, a principal at the collaborative, told reporters in a conference call. "African-American voters and other voters of color are associating Trumpism with all Republican candidates," Watkins said. "Even with Trump not being in the ballot, Trumpism was effectively on the ballot. The entire party has now been branded," he said. Black women – who were integral in the narrow upset victory by Democratic Sen. Doug Jones of Alabama last December – also played an outsized role in electing Democrats in the midterms, said Ray Block, a political science professor at the University of Kentucky, assessing the poll. African-American women were more likely than black men to vote for the Democrat, by a 94 percent to 84 percent difference, according to the poll. In the Nevada Senate race specifically, for example, 93 percent of African-Americans voted for Democratic Sen.-elect Jacky Rosen. The same percentage voted for Democratic gubernatorial nominee Stacey Abrams in Georgia – not enough to make her the Peach State's first female African-American governor but enough to show the potential power of the black vote, Block told reporters. "It's not simply women voting for women," he said. "Anger and disrespect, I believe, are motivators for black turnout." African-Americans have long been a reliable Democratic vote. But turnout has been uneven, arguably making the difference in the 2008, 2012 and the 2016 elections. A record two-thirds of African-American voters showed up at the polls in 2012 to re-elect the nation's first black president, according to the Pew Research Center. In 2016, African-American turnout declined for the first time in a presidential election in 20 years, to 59.6. Political analysts and pollsters attributed the drop to Obama's absence from the ballot – and the decline may well have made the difference for losing Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, whom critics charge had taken the African-American vote for granted. Monday's poll showed that Democrats have made some improvements and are still ahead of the GOP in terms of appealing to African-American voters. The study showed that 72 percent felt Democrats were doing a good job reaching out to African-Americans – up from 56 percent in the July poll, and demonstrably better than the 12 percent who feel that way now about the GOP. Fifteen percent said in July that Republicans were doing a good job reaching out to blacks. Derrick Johnson, president of the NAACP, said the nation will not be a true democracy until both political parties engage and value the votes of African-Americans and other minority populations. But those communities have work to do as well, he said. "It's not incumbent on politicians to appeal to a community," Johnson said in the conference call. "It's incumbent on the communities to define the agenda of the party.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/grap...t-polls/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.c30bb3efc1a4 Jones benefitted from near-unanimous support from black voters, historically large support from whites Fully 96 percent of African Americans supported Jones, similar to President Obama’s 95 percent support among this group in 2012. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/14/us/blacks-alabama-doug-jones-.html Democrats Draw Vivid Lesson From Alabama: Mobilize Black Voters By JOHN ELIGON DEC. 14, 2017 Amid the Democrats’ celebration over their success in turning out a huge number of black voters in the Senate election in Alabama, party leaders, activists and operatives are seeing a vivid message to increase outreach, mobilizatifund investment in minority communities. In the wake of Doug Jones’s victory Tuesday over Roy S. Moore, some Democrats are making the case that the party erred in recent years by failing to put enough of its resources into engaging with black communities, who helped produce the stunning upset in Alabama on Tuesday — and who turned out heavily in Virginia last month as well http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tan...term-vote-divisions-by-race-gender-education/ "Blacks voted overwhelmingly (90%) for the Democratic candidate, including comparable shares of black men (88%) and black women (92%)."
Politics Black Voters Propelled Blue Wave, Study Finds African-Americans increasingly associate GOP with Trump, racist rhetoric Democratic wins in the 2018 midterms were driven largely by African American voters — particularly black women — who increasingly associate the GOP with President Trump’s perceived hostility toward people of color and immigrants, according to an analysis released Monday. The report by the NAACP, the racial justice nonprofit Advancement Project, and the political action group African American Research Collaborative found that across competitive elections 90 percent of black voters supported Democratic House candidates, compared to 53 percent of voters overall. It also found 91 percent of black women, 86 percent of black men and 50 percent of white voters believe Trump and the GOP are using toxic rhetoric to divide the nation. “This poll dispels the myth of black voter apathy,” said Judith Browne Dianis, Advancement Project executive director. “Clearly black voters are not only engaged, but they are central to the resistance against Trumpism.” Get-out-the-vote campaigns organized by the NAACP, the Advancement Project and other groups drove record numbers of black voters to the polls, said Jamal Watkins, NAACP vice president of engagement. Nearly twice as many African-Americans voted Nov. 6 as in the 2014 midterm cycle, a turnout on par with the 2016 presidential election, Watkins said. He credited those voters with driving a banner year for black congressional candidates and other groups that have been traditionally underrepresented in Congress. Those gains will allow the Congressional Black Caucus to add nine members to its rolls, potentially becoming one of the most powerful factions in the House. Meanwhile the Congressional Hispanic and Asian and Pacific American Caucus will have record levels of membership. Women broke the symbolic barrier of more than 100 members in the House. Lawmakers from those groups are in line to chair powerful committees and subcommittees with jurisdiction over issues including the 2020 census, immigration, health care, criminal justice reform, and voting rights, Watkins said. “Those numbers really prove one thing,” he said. “If we do the work of reaching infrequent voters, infrequent black voters and infrequent voters of color, then it allows for us to take back our power.”
It's incredible how braindead these people are. The dems are not making the mistake of running another white person. Their candidate will be a black and will get close to Obama's 98% of the black vote. Even if they ran someone like Biden or Warren, Trump will never get enough minority votes to offset the losses from his MAGA base. Most of MAGA still loves Trump but if only a few percent are disgusted with being lied to and doublecrossed and stay home, he loses. Trump can win by doubling down on immigration, an issue on which most blacks are on his side. Instead, he is now selling out his base by agreeing to massive increases in the H1B scam and playing golf while the border is overrun.
Trump doing more for the black community in two years than the entire democratic party and black leadership has done in several decades. Must be the racist in him.