Is weekly expected move a useful indicator?

Discussion in 'Options' started by spectastic, Aug 25, 2021.

  1. spectastic

    spectastic

    If so, how do you use it in your trading when it comes to binary events or managing positions in a trading week.

    I personally use it as a gauge for likelihood continuation or pull back for the major indices within a given week and going into following week. It's helped me gain better market perspective and manage positions. whether long or short a position, it helps if the indices still has room to move in that direction within this context.

    Curious to get others thoughts.
     
    Last edited: Aug 25, 2021
    murray t turtle likes this.
  2. oh yeah totally. I sometimes use it more than once a day.
     
  3. tomorton

    tomorton

    How do you define weekly expected move? Does this simply mean in line with the long-term trend or that the expected move responds to the prior week's / weeks' moves?
     
    murray t turtle likes this.
  4. spectastic

    spectastic

    https://www.tastytrade.com/definiti...ve is the amount,close to the expiration date.

    the weekly expected move tells you likely hood of a stock/index stays inside a certain range based on implied vol of the options chain. it's basically considered 1 standard deviation from the prior week close, and generally there's 68% chance a stock stays within that range
     
  5. lol, I was betting that somebody was gonna fall for the trap.
     
  6. spectastic

    spectastic

    i don't get it