Is volume analysis useful in index futures?

Discussion in 'Index Futures' started by Laissez Faire, Dec 22, 2017.

  1. lcranston

    lcranston


    The word "all" was used deliberately to note that the character of a particular transaction will depend in large part on what happened prior to the transaction. "All" may therefore include the previous day's activity, or that of the previous week.
     
    #41     Dec 22, 2017
  2. Oooh... you were doing so well... until you said this. That's just blarney!
     
    #42     Dec 22, 2017
  3. lcranston

    lcranston

    They are not contrary if one views price movement during any given trading session as continuous. All charts are tick charts. The differences in charts that have not been cluttered have chiefly to do with the degree of zoom. Yes, literal tick charts are very detailed, which is important if one wants to know what's going on. But at some point, the price activity trails off the left-hand edge and one loses the context. In this case, zooming out in order to encompass a larger portion of the activity is appropriate, even if the ticks tend to resemble a line.

    One can of course resort to bars of one sort or another, but doing so tends to disrupt the continuity, and the trader starts focusing on the bar rather than on price (e.g. most of what's written about intraday trading).
     
    #43     Dec 22, 2017
  4. Gotcha

    Gotcha

    I would hope you post your findings on here, while of course trying to protect the identity of any any members since it will be through PM. The reason I say this is because on several occasions, I have attempted to ask the member, @Sprout to show stats of his very careful analysis, and he never replies with said stats. I see when members ask for help, he is quick to show them his method with this lovely in depth bar analysis, but I never see those members coming back to say how much money they are raking in.

    It all leads me to believe that as you say, sometimes it results in trades being missed because of analysis. Any time you add in one more consideration, unless it improves the win rate drastically, it will often mean winning trades are skipped.

    I remember how smart I thought I was when I discovered cumulative delta. Jesus, here was something that would tell me if the buying or selling was aggressive and surely this would indicate with a high degree of accuracy where price was heading! I'm sure some people on here know how this ends.
     
    #44     Dec 22, 2017
    MACD and Laissez Faire like this.
  5. lcranston

    lcranston

    Perhaps if one is scalping. Otherwise it pays to know the context.
     
    #45     Dec 22, 2017
  6. I'm willing to enlighten "where to fish", but I'm not going to "bait your hook and cast your line for you", too.
     
    #46     Dec 22, 2017
    MACD and Gotcha like this.
  7. More blarney. Sorry.
     
    #47     Dec 22, 2017
  8. Yes, of course. I doubt that anyone uses single tick charts. I think many who trade ES use constant tick charts ranging from hundreds to thousands of ticks in order to maintain a view of context, and in order to apply TA.
     
    #48     Dec 22, 2017
    L2L likes this.
  9. Gotcha

    Gotcha

    Does he ever get around to talking about taking actual trades? From what I remember here at ET, he was very good at telling you where you could have, or should have entered, after the fact.
     
    #49     Dec 22, 2017
  10. lcranston

    lcranston

    I use 5s and 10s charts, which enable me to follow the ticks while also providing context. And I trade the NQ so I have no idea what those who trade the ES use. As to "applying TA", I analyze the price action. If by "TA" you mean indicators, I don't use them.
     
    #50     Dec 22, 2017
    Xela likes this.