Is volume analysis useful in index futures?

Discussion in 'Index Futures' started by Laissez Faire, Dec 22, 2017.

  1. Handle123

    Handle123

    As the years gone by me, my attitude changes as well. I now see how just about anything in trading to be an added filter to reduce the number of trades. I think many "NEED" an excuse to take less trades, let's face it, most traders over trade either cause of emotions or too many signals to pull the trigger. So by adding volume, we can form rules to take less trades.

    You are right IMHO, volume goes up /down as price goes up/down, does it mean anything which is similar to flipping to get a head/tail. I find it difficult to see a huge bar knowing there can be hardly any volume in it or can be very heavy volume in it. as for myself, I will use volume to exactly reduce trades waiting for divergences of price going higher on less volume, I view volume as "interest" or people's desires to be involved to make a difference, only use it for entries in scalping, day trading or very long term commodity trading, but exits I don't use as my level of patience of being in anything that has much of a retracement-I have already exited.
     
    #151     Dec 25, 2017
  2. Exactly right!

    I understand why we don't want to be guilty of "overtrading" (and just what determines "over"?)

    Adding volume consideration is "one more variable to line up in the trader's mind". The more variables you need to convince a trader to make a play, the fewer trades he's going to take. But that isn't necessarily good. The key is "trade well". How often doesn't matter if there is proper rationale behind the play. (One can, of course, trade less frequently and still trade less well.)

    An analogy. Years ago I was a professional bowler... always in a bowling center. On time a person said to me "Bill* must be a really good bowler. I see him in here practicing every day". My response, "He's only average. He practices a lot but doesn't have good technique. He's going to get only so good with what he does." IOW... and as in trading, if you don't have good technique (thought) behind your trades, you're going to get more losers than you should... hence "overtrading".... not to mention the missed gains.

    * I used to offer a bet to average bowlers that they couldn't throw the ball between the 4 & 6 pins 10x in a row without hitting one of them.... more difficult than it looks, as the margin for error is less than hitting a single pin. Bill is the only one who ever took my money on that! What often happened after someone tried a couple of times and failed, they'd make me the same bet. LOL... that was a no-brainer. :) But I digress.
     
    Last edited: Dec 25, 2017
    #152     Dec 25, 2017
    Handle123 likes this.
  3. volpri

    volpri

    Of course the chicken. For without the chicken there would be no egg. ROFLMAO
     
    #153     Dec 25, 2017
  4. Sprout

    Sprout

    Fair enough.

    I appreciate the causality dilemma, however
    unless you are a creationist, the egg came first laid by a proto chicken. Hard shelled eggs came into existence much earlier than chickens from an evolutionary biology POV.

    There are no size limitations nor requirements for being trapped traders on the wrong side of the market. There’s always bigger fish who have different ideas in mind.

    Even whales come in different sizes and enjoy different diets. Biodiversity is good.

    All living forms had a form that came before, the form in existence now and the form yet to be.
     
    Last edited: Dec 25, 2017
    #154     Dec 25, 2017
  5. schweiz

    schweiz

    That's why I, till now, never had a problem.
     
    #155     Dec 25, 2017
  6. lcranston

    lcranston

    It's an inappropriate question. Price and volume are simultaneous. One does not create the other. One does not come "first". Volume is nothing more than a manifestation of trading activity. If one does not care about the level of trading activity surrounding his trade, there's no reason for him to concern himself with it.
     
    #156     Dec 25, 2017
    tommcginnis and volpri like this.
  7. volpri

    volpri

    BINGO
     
    #157     Dec 25, 2017
  8. Sprout

    Sprout

    An insightful podcast that continues the ecological analogy.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...s-original-theory-for-how-markets-really-work
     
    #158     Dec 25, 2017
  9. No, price can exist without volume as you can have a price that's not transacted (yet or ever), but volume can't exist without price.
     
    #159     Dec 25, 2017
  10. volpri

    volpri

    Wrong... you can only have potential next price or actual last price. Same with volume.
     
    #160     Dec 25, 2017