I think I agree with you. But can you type the sentence more clearly so I can be sure I understand? Also, remember that core PCE inflation data is this Friday.
On my broker (IG), 1 lot of EUR/USD requires $2,366 of margin (50:1 leverage) and will move by $1usd for every 0.00001 of price movement.
Oil seems too unpredictable to me. I have no idea what OPEC is going to do. I do know that the price of oil would drop significantly without OPEC keeping supply artificially low. But I have no control over their actions or any way to predict them.
In order to think I was wrong... I would need to have other economists agree with that. I would need to read analysts opinions on sites such as FxStreet, DailyFX, etc. It would require some new news or data release that changed the entire outlook.
Who started this bloody anxiety laced grief stricken thread in the first place? Oh Please. You went from despair to braggadocio in two pages.
So, 100k as I said. So how can you be down 2000+ when eurusd moved down a max 80 or so pips between Friday and Monday? You don't make sense...