IS THIS PERFORMANCE REPORT BOGUS...

Discussion in 'Automated Trading' started by MISSSNP, Feb 20, 2024.

  1. comagnum

    comagnum

    Avg 25.9R per winning trade is excellent. The 25% win rate & small avg loss makes this possible. Noobs/scammers always claim a win rate rate of 80-100%.

    Seen a trader doing something like this backed with broker records - risking 2-4 ES ticks to make 6-7pts which gives you 24-28R & about the same avg loss & WR.

    This trader IMHO looks like they know what they are doing as long as this was live trading. The vast majority never think or trade like this which is why I like it.
     
    Last edited: Feb 21, 2024
    #11     Feb 21, 2024
    DarkTemplar and SimpleMeLike like this.
  2. Good Morning MISSSNP,

    I have NinjaTrader 8.

    Please send me the code in private message. Then I will tell you if it is real or fake.

    Thank you,
     
    #12     Feb 21, 2024
    comagnum likes this.
  3. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    Lol this guy
     
    #13     Feb 21, 2024
  4. comagnum

    comagnum

    correction - for trading the ES to have the 25.9R it would be risking 2 ticks with a 13pt target.
    This is what it looks like:

    ES today (30 secs)
    upload_2024-2-21_6-25-25.png
     
    #14     Feb 21, 2024
  5. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    For some reason I could never make a high reward to risk strategy work intraday.
     
    #15     Feb 21, 2024
    MISSSNP and SimpleMeLike like this.
  6. comagnum

    comagnum

    Its not easy to have a low win rate & larger targets. Your can be just as well off having a lower R if you take more trade setups. More than 1 way to skin a cat.
     
    #16     Feb 21, 2024
    SimpleMeLike and hilmy83 like this.
  7. Hello comagnum,

    Good comment.

    Are you sure someone can make this work manually?

    With a risk of 2 ticks and reward of 13 points (52 ticks) this mean with 100 trades, there will be only 5 wins and 95 losses with a 5% win rate.

    Win rate has to be 5% to make money with this trade management style.

    I am not sure the human brain can handle a 5% win rate strategy, maybe an algo. I could be wrong, like you said, there are more than 1 way to skin a cat.
     
    Last edited: Feb 21, 2024
    #17     Feb 21, 2024
    MACD, MarkBrown and comagnum like this.
  8. VSTscalper

    VSTscalper

    comagnum,

    Is this what you are talking about? This is actually my favorite setup. Very LOW - Winning Percentage - but great WinLossRatio (HighWLR). It is all about Controlling Risk.

    In my early trading days - I would often watch a Profitable trade - go Negative. While I want to give Price a chance to Run - I would much rather take a BreakEven trade - than go Negative - if that makes sense.

    Have a great day.

    VSTscalper
    .EliteTrader_comagnum_BreakEvenTrades_02-21-24_1.png
    .EliteTrader_HighWinLossRatio_02-21-24_1.png
    .EliteTrader_comagnum_ProfitLoss_10days_02-21-24_1.png
     
    #18     Feb 21, 2024
  9. Good Evening VSTscalper,

    Great algo. Nice work
     
    #19     Feb 21, 2024
  10. comagnum

    comagnum

    I like it. The law of large numbers + edge with relentless execution. If your an active trader you can be green 80% of the days, despite having a 25% WR.
     
    #20     Feb 21, 2024