Is there a bullish bias in the markets.

Discussion in 'Psychology' started by areyoukidding?, Oct 20, 2005.

  1. Is this inherent in following the heard?
  2. Perhaps thats why sell offs are so sudden because they are so unexpected.
  3. ==============
    Depends on market;
    in DAL, DALR
    & like a RFXCQ polar bear said short it if it has a ''r'' in it:cool:

    Is there a bullish bias in tek stocks ;
    sure, especially in 4th quarter

    Also depends on personality,LUV maybe a good long;
    but dont have a general bullish bias for it,
    reguardless of it being a great company.:cool:
  4. im just thinking it is generally more gratifying to buy stocks and watch them go up, than to go short of stocks. i think shorting is way more difficult especially when the public and wall street like when the market rallies.
  5. Yes, there is a bullish bias in the 'stock market', but it's mostly do to survivorship bias. The strong get stronger and the weak eventually go away.

    I don't recall the numbers precisely, but I believe only 14 of the 30 present Dow Industrials members were present in the index in 1985 (taking into account mergers, etc.). That's a greater than 50% turnover, in one of the most sacred of indices. It would make an interesting study to see what level the Dow would be at with the 1985 members.

    Good luck to all.
  6. cnms2


    Doesn't market bullishness come from the positive cost of money (interest rates)?
  7. yes and there is also manipulation and propaganda to prop up equities not to mention accounting fraud....