Is the Repo Market issue not getting enough attention?

Discussion in 'Economics' started by Seaweed, Nov 27, 2019.

  1. Seaweed

    Seaweed

    As George said, this is like QE, even though Powell said there won't be anymore QE.
     
    #31     Dec 4, 2019
  2. bone

    bone

    The Fed keeps buying up the very collateral which banks need to post in order to buy the freaking Repo Agreements. Sort of a self-defeating if you ask me.

     
    #32     Dec 4, 2019
  3. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks

    @bone

    Just typing out loud so I understand...
    Your use of the word "buy" makes me think these T-Bill purchases are not overnight Repo loans.

    These short-term T-BILLS are taken out of the market, and assuming held to maturity, the face value of these short-term bills gets extinguished... no interest need be paid, whether coupon, excess reserves, or otherwise. This debt extinguishing offsets NEW issuance of Congress approved debt (and/or other methods of money creation). If I am not mistaken, THIS IS QE!

    If the buy is more conventional, where the bills are used as collateral for a loan, then the borrower will pay interest, which also offsets fresh money creation based on difference between coupon and loan rate. This is not QE, but rather a longer term repo.

    Am I missing something?
     
    #33     Dec 4, 2019
  4. bone

    bone

    Yes, the Fed is not buying repos they are buying T-Bills in the secondary market. And it is QE by another tag - they are by design bolstering demand. My point in my most recent post was that finally the Fed was actually meeting Bank demand for repos. What has been happening which created this "crisis" up to this point was that Banks were offering up Treasuries (like T-Bills) as collateral for repos - but the Fed was not meeting the demand. Which is absolutely insane considering that the Banks are pledging US sovereign debt as full collateral in exchange for these very short term borrowing agreements.

    If you're a bank, your operations will absolutely demand that you are able to borrow very short term (which is the Repo market) from time to time - you simply cannot liquidate retail and commercial customer loans just to satisfy an incredibly short term funding requirement.

     
    #34     Dec 4, 2019
  5. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks



    bolstering demand = USD will remain in demand around the globe.

    Actionable.

    Thank you @bone
     
    #35     Dec 4, 2019
  6. bone

    bone

    Well, the Fed was forced into lowering rates by Draghi and the ECB. Right now, you see obnoxiously negative interest rates in the EU because the ECB is devaluing the Euro versus the Dollar in an effort to bolster EU exports. So yeah, the ECB started a currency war so there's that. But that's a topic for another thread.

     
    #36     Dec 4, 2019
  7. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks

    Completely agree.

    My last word... until USD strength causes real havoc (outside of US), green lights remain on!
     
    #37     Dec 4, 2019
  8. bone

    bone

    It gives US citizens and Companies greater purchasing power - until it reaches the inflection point where the stronger dollar mutes US exports and then it is very very bad for domestic employment and share prices. The US exports $2.5 Trillion per year and that inflection point will be quite closely monitored because it can really hurt the United States.

     
    #38     Dec 4, 2019