Is the crypto winter over?

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by schizo, Jan 13, 2023.

  1. schizo

    schizo

    Well, for the moment, it is trading above 30K so you can take some solace in that. One thing I've definitely noticed over the last 4 months is that BTC likes to chop around a lot and then break out big time at the last minute. So in essence, this gives me plenty of opportunity to fade the chops on a short-term basis (and then hopefully catch the breakout).
     
    #791     Apr 11, 2023
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  2. its looking strong mate!
     
    #792     Apr 11, 2023
    johnarb likes this.
  3. At my lunchbreak I took a look at my Microstrategy holdings. Looks like I doubled my share value. I just thought I'd step in to once again thank all the perma-bears for this. I purchased right at the loudest screaming in this group chanting "Bitcoin is going to zero!!!" Not only was I correct in guesstimating the bottom had to be in, but I hit it just perfectly, which NEVER HAPPENS.

    So thanks again perma-bears.

    In other news, I bought more long-term Fed bonds today on the cheap.
     
    #793     Apr 11, 2023
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  4. johnarb

    johnarb

    I bought a call options position on Microstrategy at the beginning of last year for a total cost of ~$27K and it has been a wild ride

    The value of the position went up to $52K right before the asshole speech at JackAss-on-hole

    The value of the position plummeted after the speech and lost over 90%, bottomed around $2.3K

    Now the position is on the way back up. I still have plenty of time, expiration is Jan/2024

    When MSTR hits $1,000/share, the value of the call-options position will be ~$250K, and maybe I'll sell to close a couple of the call options, I'm still undecided it depends on the price of each btc

    I expect MSTR to hit $2,000/share if bitcoin goes to $100,000/btc

    nfa

    upload_2023-4-11_15-12-35.png
     
    Last edited: Apr 11, 2023
    #794     Apr 11, 2023
    semperfrosty likes this.
  5. The only time I came very close on purchasing call options, was on Ethereum to rake-in after the Merge. Well, I was correct on the Merge being basically a perfect success. But due to all the other devastation in the markets, she went the wrong way, lol.

    So in hindsight, I'm glad I didn't lose yet another bet there. Goes to show you... you can be correct on the timing, and outcome of an event... and STILL get the direction of price wrong. Doh!
     
    #795     Apr 11, 2023
    johnarb likes this.
  6. Overnight

    Overnight

    Dayum. That speech really sucked, but did not really affect the markets like it did to your position. Powell really fuked us on that one.
     
    #796     Apr 11, 2023
  7. johnarb

    johnarb

    The stock market lost $1 Trillion after that speech

    It was the start of the crash in the value of the MSTR options position, the 90% lost value was over the course of many months of bear market plus all the shit show crypto bankruptcies news
     
    #797     Apr 11, 2023
  8. schizo

    schizo

    Back below 30K :confused:o_O

    [​IMG]

    Good place to hop on long up to 30,300 IMO. Then back down again...

    upload_2023-4-11_20-59-4.png
     
    #798     Apr 12, 2023
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  9. johnarb

    johnarb

    There's CPI tomorrow morning, could be a $2k move down risk on bitcoin. I don't think it has the same upside potential based on CPI

    You putting a short position?
     
    #799     Apr 12, 2023
    schizo likes this.
  10. schizo

    schizo

    No, I have a long order at 28.8K. So if what you say is true, I should get filled tomorrow. :)
     
    #800     Apr 12, 2023
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