Is S&P forming intermediate term double top?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by fly down, Nov 4, 2010.

IS S&P forming an intermediate term double top ?

  1. Yes

    40 vote(s)
    41.7%
  2. No way

    33 vote(s)
    34.4%
  3. I don't like you or these polls

    23 vote(s)
    24.0%
  1. No not yet. This week will include downside action. Let's see.

    The sentiment is way too extreme for the market to rise here. Usually you cannot fight the fed, but they don't have ultimate control and when sentiment is this biased, it can only go contrarian.
     
    #221     Dec 13, 2010
  2. Locutus

    Locutus

    What's risky is a long entry when, as poster above me said, sentiment is very high. You might catch a few % but if you target more than that it is best to wait for a dip and then buy on the way back up.

    I'm sure every long/short fund or investor is schizophrenic. I am long certain stocks because I happen to find them undervalued (this includes LAD, DRYS, MSFT and some other stuff). I've had LAD and DRYS for a while so you can figure that these guys more than made up for my loss in AAPL over the past months.

    I personally find the S&P 500 and other indices to be overvalued (as opposed to the stuff I actually own which is not, in my opinion).
     
    #222     Dec 13, 2010
  3. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    i certainly cannot argue that sentiment is absurd, as is valuation. but the fed has shown it will sacrifice itself and the country before the stock market.
     
    #223     Dec 13, 2010
  4. Yes, and after this expiration week, the fed will again be in control. But with excessive sentiment and expiration, there is only one direction to go..down.
     
    #224     Dec 14, 2010
  5. guaranteed a nice down day tomorrow wednesday 12/15.
     
    #225     Dec 14, 2010
  6. Yes it was a down day. perfect timing to take the premium out of close to the money december calls.
     
    #226     Dec 15, 2010
  7. jokepie

    jokepie

    I opened some shorts on GOOG, BIDU, FCX, POT. and Long SDS.
    Almost 20% of my a/c.
    Lets see what happens in cpl of days. not planning to stay short for long. will close these on the next tripple digit UP day.

    P.S. Bought some 35 strk calls JAN exp. on BBY. Just a bad Gambling habbit.
     
    #227     Dec 15, 2010
  8. as long as the S&P doesn't close above 1250, I feel comfortable here.
     
    #228     Dec 16, 2010
  9. jokepie

    jokepie

    Yep, I am holding my SHORTS and boxers :p

    If we gap up and get a tripple digit gain day. I am reversing my SHORTS and probably would need to change my Boxers as well.

    :D
     
    #229     Dec 16, 2010
  10. Use all the technicals you want, at some point you have to realize almost every event in the near term is bullish and there's overwhelming bullish sentiment. Did your "double top" tell you that?

    Technicals are good, and I'm not saying your wrong, but consider all the other things as well
     
    #230     Dec 16, 2010