Is price movement really random and unpredictable?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by schizo, Jan 9, 2024.

How accurately can you predict the next bar or candle?

Poll closed Feb 8, 2024.
  1. Usually less than 25% of the time

    23.1%
  2. Between 25% - 50%

    28.2%
  3. Between 50% - 75%

    33.3%
  4. Almost always above 75% of the time

    15.4%
  1. Jzwu2017

    Jzwu2017

    If you’re not doing HFT why try to pick up pennies? I used to pick up pennies in front of a train and 99% of time I eventually got run over with a handful of pennies. All the pennies are lost and more with one run over. I know the “free” pennies are very tempting. Being there done that.

    You have to think big in trading. Otherwise, there’s no point at all. If you cannot cultivate an edge for big wins you’ll never make it in trading as a retail discretionary trader.
     
    #261     Feb 6, 2024
    Laissez Faire and comagnum like this.
  2. schizo

    schizo

    Even if you can't code, there are many good AI code bots available to get you moving in the right direction.
     
    #262     Feb 6, 2024
  3. ironchef

    ironchef

    Scalping.
     
    #263     Feb 6, 2024
    SimpleMeLike likes this.
  4. ironchef

    ironchef

    I an a newbie scalper (now), simply parroted what everyone said.

    I exit +1 tick. 1 tick = $1250 in ES, not bad at all.
     
    #264     Feb 6, 2024
  5. ironchef

    ironchef

    You must be talking about writing options to collect "free" money, like insurrance company selling insurance?

    I believe day trading is a different animal, especially scalping, but I am new and really not qualify to speak for day trading.
     
    #265     Feb 6, 2024
  6. ironchef

    ironchef

    Yes and yes for me.
     
    #266     Feb 6, 2024
    beginner66 and ondafringe like this.
  7. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Missing decimal, but IMO 1 tick trading is a waste of time mirage.
     
    #267     Feb 6, 2024
    SimpleMeLike and toucan like this.
  8. Jzwu2017

    Jzwu2017

    I am talking about any penny pickup trading in the financial markets, being it options , equities, etc.
     
    #268     Feb 6, 2024
  9. ironchef

    ironchef

    Why you tell me? o_O

    I didn't ask you for your broker's statement. :p
     
    #269     Feb 6, 2024
  10. ironchef

    ironchef

    Now you are telling me. :banghead:
     
    #270     Feb 6, 2024