Is Obama right about the market? An analysis of several different indicators

Discussion in 'Economics' started by Port1385, Mar 4, 2009.

  1. This shows a large graph comparing 4 bear markets. You can plainly see how the current market is tracking in a very similiar manner to the Great Depression era market. This chart suggests that we may keep tracking with that market.


    A chart of the current bear demonstrating lower highs and lower lows suggesting the trend might continue.

    An analysis of P/Es suggesting that they have to drop further in order for there to be a bottom in the market

    This chart shows one type of signal. Price has not crossed over the 12 month moving average which has been a fairly reliable signal both in modern times and during the Great Depression era market.

    Dividends have not risen substantially to justify a bottom. Bottoms were set when dividends rose, but now they are being cut.


    Finally, look at this video and the chart that it shows suggesting next support at around 600.

    I think the S&P 500 still has about 50-100 points to fall in the MONTHS to come before I would even CONSIDER a long term portfolio of stocks.
  2. achilles28


    What would Obama know about the stock market? Or economics, for that matter??

    He's surrounded himself with life-long Monetarist's and Wallstreet'ers who got America into this mess, in the first place!