is market random?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by padutrader, Sep 27, 2019.

is market random

  1. yes

    9 vote(s)
    16.1%
  2. no

    17 vote(s)
    30.4%
  3. not all the time

    19 vote(s)
    33.9%
  4. does not matter

    11 vote(s)
    19.6%
  1. TommyR

    TommyR

    excellent reasoning. if it were random after the drift (exponential itt) any subsequence of days would have a return time tending to 0 as n tends to infinity
     
    Last edited: Oct 12, 2019
    #121     Oct 12, 2019
  2. TommyR

    TommyR

    there is a lot of randomness . do not be fooled by it, choosing the mass of the different particles you can measure the flux through the boundary. if you do very quickly you can move the ball tighter and tighter, the gas is compressible and it heats up, because it is radiating through a smaller surface area. a singularity is avoided because the boundary has to have positive volume- like the smallest bid-ask. but it would be very hot like the centre of quasar if you have a large enough system of particles. this is actually how it works tbh
     
    #122     Oct 13, 2019
    imjohn likes this.
  3. %%
    [d] DEPENDS ON how you value profit compared to how the market trends over time >one day.I enter/exit during the day many times, but not really a day trade- never could make daytrading what I could/did make swing /position trading. LAST quarter of 2018, did some daytrading, but the market seldom says in bear trends as long………………………………………………………..
     
    #123     Oct 13, 2019
    ironchef likes this.
  4. TommyR

    TommyR

    if the market were random i would have an up day every few weeks . confirmed deterministic.
     
    #124     Oct 15, 2019
  5. Resto

    Resto

    #125     Oct 15, 2019
  6. MACD

    MACD

    This may qualify as the greatest post ever made on ET.
     
    #126     Dec 11, 2019
    imjohn likes this.
  7. imjohn

    imjohn

    hot like the centre of quasar... boom
     
    #127     Dec 11, 2019
  8. %%
    That , Quant11+ auto correlation........................
    And also ,, trends also tend to persist, except SEPT selling. So SEPT selling could fool many; i seldom see anything i could confuse for being random; but i study trends + NOT looking for random patterns..........................................................................
     
    #128     Dec 11, 2019
  9. RickM

    RickM

    Price is moved by an Algorithm, not a human to entice traders to place a position.
    Then it looks to trap those same traders with skill no human could ever obtain.
    It’s very precise but uses a code that can be broken down to a few parameters.
     
    #129     Dec 14, 2019