I think I did when I filled out my voter registration form a long while back. However, since, Democrats make up a sizable portion of election officials and a number of them rabid partisans, you cannot trust them to do the right thing! Just a few weeks before the midterm elections in California, the DMV (Dept of Motor Vehicles) registered illegals (foreigners) in the hundreds of thousands. I never heard of the Democrat officials (Secretary of State) purging those names from the voting rolls!
Your post is utter nonsense. What part of "elections are not random processes like drawing colored balls from urns and this is an artificial oversimplification" in the OP didn't you understand? I deliberately posted this "artificial oversimplification" to make a point about how counter-intuitive some probabilities are. Go back to English 101 and start over.
Slartocchio lie # 3,474. If you're such a great intellect, why don't you calculate the answers and post them? It's only high school math.
Nope, you did not and now you are just lying about it as you don't have a shred of decency Xeladexter. I think everyone has figured you out by now just the cons here like being lied to if its regular and easy to understand. Anyway, I am off to do other stuff. Midterms were as far as I was willing to waste my life. However I do expect to make your case famous, you are quite the little alt-right freak faker. You will like the attention you get I am sure when the times comes. Bye, I've asked for this login to be disabled though as @Frederick Foresight suggested perhaps just blocking out politics as it really is a waste of time. Imagine your last days, you last seconds and thinking of the time wasted here. XXX
Whether you understand statistics or not remains to be seen. Mostly what we saw from you was misdirection or deceit.
Not academic bullying. Outright BS because he ignored the disclaimers in the OP as if they didn't exist and made a strawman argument. Despite being an "artificial oversimplification" as I said in the OP, the exercise is instructive as a reality check on intuition. If he really does understand statistics, his attempt at misdirection is not surprising given his politics and the answers to the two questions.
Then it should be a simple matter for you to provide the answers to questions 1 and 2 as stated in the OP. How about taking a few minutes to do that, then we can discuss -- minus bluster and strawman arguments.
What would be the point.Your example assumes something that is not true in the particular reality of the Florida vote count. So the assumed situation is not applicable to Florida's count, though you want to suggest it is. In the reality of the Florida count the additional 10K votes are not a true representation of the remainder of the population of votes and there is no apparent reason why they necessarily should be!!! They may have been mostly or completely mail in ballots, or ballots mailed at the last minute, or from military overseas, or provisional ballots, etc. So while the difference you find in your specific example, assuming your assumption to hold, could be an indicator of fraud, the assumption you made in your example does not hold in the Florida case. So what is your point other than to try and mislead and waste our time. Your post contributes nothing of value to consideration of whether there is fraud occurring in the Florida voting or vote count. The most likely reason that no one has yet found any evidence of fraud in the Florida voting or vote count, is of course, that there isn't any. But not finding any evidence, and we can be assured someone is looking for it, does not mean there isn't any. Just as not being able to locate God in a particular cloud doesn't mean God isn't in some other cloud. I'm afraid the best you can do, so far, is to assume the vote count is fraudulent despite absence of evidence. And that, to put it mildly, is not very convincing.