Is It a Reversal or a Pullback?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by schizo, Jan 20, 2016.

  1. dartmus

    dartmus

    I got it! We need the Efficient Market Hypothesis. Let's put EMH there!
     
    #201     Jan 23, 2016
  2. candles

    candles

    I know ;)
    Most of us know.
     
    #202     Jan 23, 2016
    dartmus likes this.
  3. dartmus

    dartmus

    1 million future likes from me!
     
    #203     Jan 23, 2016
  4. dartmus

    dartmus

    Let's give this topic the serious consideration schizo intended when he started it and be thankful we have this venue to learn from.
    2nd box is exhaustion followed by rev dn which brooks classifies as a spike dn with a channel dn attached, aka a spike and channel dn. Given the time of day, end of RTH session, the mild upsloping trend in 2nd half of 2nd box is fine, it's still going up, but it became a bear flag.

    Look at 2nd bar OUTSIDE the box. It's what many traders refer to as last call, get on board. The shooting star candle itself is not enough to say that, but when it's unable to go up further and begins drifting downward, and then accelerating dnward, we get to the non-descriptive part of this analysis.

    How do we get out of this hindsight descriptive mode and into the predictive mode IAN uses? CONTEXT! What pace must price continue to maintain at that point in time to stay within the uptrend?

    baro-san, imo u and IAN are saying the same things. I think u 2 have a semantic disagreement over whether you are predicting the next bar and thus leading rather than following price. If IAN used the word anticipating the breakdn instead of predicting the next bar I think u would begin to enjoy reading his posts.

    btw baro-san imo u are top guy on ET. Luv your work!
     
    Last edited: Jan 23, 2016
    #204     Jan 23, 2016
  5. It's just a simple schematic chart. It's not meant to capture every possible pullback manifestation, of which there are many. My point was, when price makes a higher high, BAM !, it's a pullback !
     
    #205     Jan 23, 2016
  6. Autodidact

    Autodidact

    Actually, you mean, it *WAS* a pullback, now it's a high.
     
    #206     Jan 23, 2016
  7. No, I mean "IS", and forever will be.
     
    #207     Jan 23, 2016
  8. Autodidact

    Autodidact

    :rolleyes:
     
    #208     Jan 23, 2016
  9. schizo

    schizo

    I couldn't help but chuckle seeing the two of you bicker about "buffer zone". I simply made that term up. I could have easily called it something else like "No-man's land". Now go Google if that term also comes up as well. :D
     
    #209     Jan 23, 2016
    wrbtrader likes this.
  10. TKOSTA74

    TKOSTA74

    Copy-of-learningcurve-150x150.gif images.png
     
    #210     Jan 23, 2016
    onemoreshot likes this.