Is GOLD (/silver/etc) a bubble?

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by scriabinop23, Feb 16, 2010.

Is GOLD (/silver/etc) a bubble?

  1. Yes

    18 vote(s)
    31.0%
  2. No

    40 vote(s)
    69.0%
  1. sumfuka

    sumfuka

    1, That baby is called chairman, he'll be counting beanie all day;everyday. :p
     
    #31     Feb 21, 2010
  2. zdreg

    zdreg

    above are words to the wise expressed in practical terms not in philosophical terms. they will be unfortunately ignored by most traders and investors.
     
    #32     Feb 22, 2010

  3. Not if you are following your charts. This metal has been making higher lows over the past few years. Nothing broken yet. We'll see.
     
    #33     Feb 22, 2010
  4. PaulRon

    PaulRon

    Was NASDAQ in a bubble leading up to 2000? Bubbles can last for years and yield great returns in the process. Gold bull markets have historically lasted at least 15 years which says we have at least 5-6 years left in this bull.
     
    #34     Feb 22, 2010
  5. The biggest problem for gold holders won't be the damage that could occur from a 50% drop but the selling of it at 5K before it rockets up to 10K.:D
     
    #35     Feb 22, 2010
  6. Gold has been a currency for almost the entire history of man and it is indeed a reserve currency held by governments in very large quantities.

    The growth in the middle-class in China and India is skyrocketing right now. Those citizens can buy gold for personal use or investment, or for business use or investment. In addition, their governments will continue to hoard gold as much as they possibly can (and we're talking about big players here).

    Gold is also incorporated directly into the artwork and tableware in China and India (statues, murals, sculptures, pottery, tableware).

    Limited supply. The supply of gold will rise slowly.

    More people bringing more demand. The demand for gold will rise sharply.

    Result is that the price of gold will rise gradually at times and sharply at times, with some small downward corrections along the way.


    Now, to test the hypothesis, we sit back and wait 10 years.
     
    #36     Feb 22, 2010
  7. The future is uncertain, but there is whiff of deflation in the air
    Together with the Dow:Gold ratio picture, they suggest gold prices may not go anywhere fast as it did in the 1930s. Then again, if the inflation picture changes, it could go for a wild ride, as it did in the 1970s.
    [​IMG]
     
    #37     Feb 22, 2010
  8. Every anemic jobs report we see is supportive of continued low interest rates, increased central bank accomodation - supportive of gold prices. Most of the gold miners out there are in between a 10-15 PE, hardly what i'd call overvalued, and represent a great value, especially amid still cratering energy demand fundamentals (cost side).
     
    #38     Feb 25, 2010
  9. That's amazing. Sounds like one of those "too good to be true" risk/reward scenarios. Unlimited upside with limited downside. COUNT ME IN!!!!!
     
    #39     Feb 25, 2010
  10. Why try to be smarter than George Soros?:p
     
    #40     Feb 25, 2010