is covid 19 what you call the "black swan?"

Discussion in 'Trading' started by vincentnyc, Mar 20, 2020.

is the covid 19 the black swan?

  1. Yes

    26 vote(s)
    74.3%
  2. No

    9 vote(s)
    25.7%
  1. southall

    southall

    You are an idiot for only considering the number of deaths.
    The economic disruption is caused from the fact it is highly contagious not the number of deaths. The markets do not care much about 1 million sick and old people dying. But regular people do care about spreading the infection or catching the infection, when those deaths could be themselves or loved ones.
     
    Last edited: Mar 20, 2020
    #21     Mar 20, 2020
  2. volpri

    volpri

    You mean like the QQQ blew up?
     
    #22     Mar 20, 2020
  3. volpri

    volpri

    Vicente it is most definitely a white buzzard event. Black swan is too nice.
     
    #23     Mar 20, 2020
  4. dozu888

    dozu888

    that's the whole point I been making! people are idiots so they treat 1 death differnt from another.
     
    #24     Mar 20, 2020
  5. southall

    southall

    People have been getting hospital treatment so far, put on ventilators.
    If the hospitals get full the death rate will climb much higher
     
    #25     Mar 20, 2020
  6. southall

    southall

    Drunk driver killing you cannot be avoided. Cardiovascular cant be avoided (in the short term). Obviously you are going to change behaviour for something that can avoided and controlled in the short term.
     
    #26     Mar 20, 2020
  7. southall

    southall

    Doesnt matter if your IQ is 80 or 150. You are not going to want to bring this virus home to your wife, children and parents.
    Or take them anywhere once 10,000 people a day are dying from this.
     
    #27     Mar 20, 2020
  8. mskl

    mskl


    long at the top.......
     
    #28     Mar 20, 2020
    trader99 likes this.
  9. dozu888

    dozu888

    can be avoided if you shut yourself in!
     
    #29     Mar 20, 2020
  10. dozu888

    dozu888

    idiot I have made so much coin I can literally knock you dead with my bag of money.
     
    #30     Mar 20, 2020