is covid 19 what you call the "black swan?"

Discussion in 'Trading' started by vincentnyc, Mar 20, 2020.

is the covid 19 the black swan?

  1. Yes

    26 vote(s)
    74.3%
  2. No

    9 vote(s)
    25.7%
  1. southall

    southall

    You are making the same mistake as the Turveyd, None of those things you listed are highly infectious diseases.

    They are easily handled by the system.
     
    #11     Mar 20, 2020
  2. schizo

    schizo

    Dead swan (I prefer fried over baked -- no politically correct crap for me)
     
    #12     Mar 20, 2020
  3. dozu888

    dozu888

    your dead your dead... doesn't matter how you dead. infectious or not.

    I already compared traffic/cardiovascular with your corona numbers, in the worst case scenario.
     
    #13     Mar 20, 2020
  4. schizo

    schizo

    Man where you getting your sources from. Healthy young crowds are getting sick too. It's only a matter of time before this blows up in your face.
     
    #14     Mar 20, 2020
  5. Overnight

    Overnight

    The problem with this idea is that shit like car accidents and cardio disease is something that we can CONTROL.

    It is the lack of control that has people scared out of their minds. For cardio problems, they can reduce their salt intake, eat healthier foods, stick to good nuts. Buy a safer car, implement penalties for falling asleep at the wheel while texting, jail for driving drunk. Doing things like that will proactively stop more deaths.

    It can be done through legislative action.

    Dying from a virus is not something that can be prevented by writing new laws of rules or restrictions. It cannot be battled with tort reform, or border closures, or jail time. It is just there, in your face, and you cannot see that which is about to potentially kill you. THAT is what people, in the greatest sense, are afraid of.
     
    #15     Mar 20, 2020
  6. southall

    southall

    You really need this spelled out to you.
    You don't pass cardiovascular disease onto other people. Doctors and nurses are happy to treat you, the funeral people are happy to take your body, you can eat out and go where ever you like and do not risk giving cardiovascular to anyone else. You work colleagues are happy to sit next to you.
     
    #16     Mar 20, 2020
    Overnight likes this.
  7. dozu888

    dozu888

    CFR age statistics:

    (90+ ) 14.1%

    (80-89) 42.2%

    (70-79) 32.4%

    (60-69) 8.4%

    (50-59) 2.8%

    overall: 5%

    basically a non issue for under 50.... just google up.
     
    #17     Mar 20, 2020
  8. dozu888

    dozu888

    you are such an idiot... with EVERYTHING PRICED IN, WITH THE FACT THAT CORONA IS INFECTIOUS AND TRAFFIC/CARDIOVASCULAR IS NOT, your worst case scenario for corona still produces a much smaller chance of dying.

    you are an example of the typical 100 IQ crowd who line up to get toilet paper....

    still not convinced? ask your kids 'cause your brain is already too old and has stopped working.
     
    #18     Mar 20, 2020
  9. dozu888

    dozu888

    you are not stupid..

    I am saying, the crowd IS stupid.... control or not chance of dying is just a number... it's clear 1 number is bigger than another.

    you can control all you want. the fact is with the status quo those numbers ARE the chance of dying for traffic and cardiovascular... and people ARE living with today's cars, diet and legislation.
     
    #19     Mar 20, 2020
  10. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Black swan is in the subjective domain.
    It's not epistemic.

    Some guys knew what would happen.
     
    #20     Mar 20, 2020