Is a "V" shape recovery a pipe dream post COVID?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Cuddles, Mar 20, 2020.

  1. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    adamantium bro, none of that brittle diamond shit
     
    #31     Mar 24, 2020
    zghorner likes this.
  2. zghorner

    zghorner

    i plan on holding my puts which means if you want to make money then you should do the opposite of me, sell your puts and buy calls tomorrow.
     
    #32     Mar 24, 2020
  3. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    i'm long overnight.....futures not going my way though
     
    #33     Mar 24, 2020
  4. zghorner

    zghorner

    seems like futures havnt been the best predictor at all the past few weeks often trading opposite to what we see in equities the next morning. I honestly dont know but this just really seems like a bull trap to me. How could we have hit bottom when things are getting worse not better?
     
    #34     Mar 24, 2020
  5. kashirin

    kashirin


    2400 is bottom of 2018 when market expected that recession might happen
    with what is happening now 40% off from 2400 wouldn't be overshoot

    although anything is possible with crazy money printing but with buybacks toxic and no earnings and half of stock market goes to zombie status it's gonna be difficult to sustain current levels
    add here P/E compression if inflation happens and maybe 1000 S&P is generous
     
    #35     Mar 24, 2020
  6. Overnight

    Overnight

    Longing overnight is not a bad play...IF THE SENATE CAN PASS THE DAMNED BILL AND TRUMP SIGNS IT. Man, those fools on the Hill need an enema. People are dying!
     
    #36     Mar 24, 2020
    jeffbader likes this.
  7. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    Consensus among the ones I trust here is that it's a dead cat bounce/bull trap that's good for 2 maybe 3 days. This 6 trillion package throws a wrench in things though. As far as I know it's all bullshit until Congress approves, and they're struggling w/the first 1.5 trillion. I honestly don't know how much of the promised money can be authorized by Mnuchin or Powell.

    I've seen futures gap opposite of the close in the premarket more often than not the last few days

    I'm holding for the bailout vote to dump (though may hold onto AMZN, WMT, and maybe DAL)....though dunno if there's any more upside to wait until Donnie signs it....I'm thinking no.
     
    #37     Mar 24, 2020
    zghorner likes this.
  8. ....stop your apocalyptic "forecasts"....you sound like a preacher! :rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes:

    Coronavirus: Wuhan lockdown to end in two weeks as China gets people back to work
    • Outbreak’s initial epicentre set to lift draconian restrictions in force for over two months
    • Hubei province to ease traffic controls on Wednesday for those with QR code showing they are healthy
    https://www.scmp.com/news/china/soc...lockdown-end-two-weeks-china-gets-people-back
     
    #38     Mar 24, 2020
  9. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    What's your point? Flattening the curve has been covered extensively. We're at least 2 wks out from peaking in the States.
     
    #39     Mar 24, 2020
  10. kashirin

    kashirin

    And then will be the second wave

    Travel will never recover
     
    #40     Mar 24, 2020