Investment Giant AllianceBernstein Now Says Bitcoin Has Role in Investors’ Portfolios

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by johnarb, Dec 1, 2020.

  1. johnarb

    johnarb

    https://www.yahoo.com/now/investment-giant-alliancebernstein-now-says-154358992.html

    Daniel Palmer
    Mon, November 30, 2020, 7:43 AM PST·2 min read

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    The research arm of New York-based AllianceBernstein, a global investment manager with $631 billion in assets under management, has had a change of heart when it comes to bitcoin as an investment asset.

    In a research note produced for clients, seen by CoinDesk, Inigo Fraser Jenkins, co-head of the portfolio strategy team at Bernstein Research, said the firm had previously ruled out bitcoin as an investment asset back in January of 2018, soon after bitcoin had hit its all-time high close to $20,000.

    But post-pandemic changes to the policy environment, debt levels and diversification options for investors mean the asset manger now has “to admit [bitcoin] does” have a role in asset allocation, at least over the long term.

    Fraser Jenkins said the “significant reduction” in the volatility of bitcoin’s price makes it more attractive both as a store of value and as a medium of exchange. The pandemic has also seen a rise in bitcoin’s correlation with other major assets. On the other hand, he said, bitcoin is a liquid asset and can be quickly sold off, as happened during the March markets crash.

    “From a narrow empirical point of view the downward shift in [volatility] of bitcoin makes it more desirable but its increased correlation points the other way,” Fraser Jenkins wrote.

    When it comes to a role in hedging against inflation, “the driver of bitcoin is similar to that as for gold,” per the note, even if the cryptocurrency may not “exactly move in a way that would counteract inflation in a given fiat currency.”

    Other issues such as use of cryptocurrency in crime and bitcoin mining’s heavy energy footprint were cited as concerns around the asset, as was increasing regulatory scrutiny.

    There may be potentials issue for bitcoin in future too, according Fraser Jenkins. With the pandemic likely to make governments more powerful and take a bigger role in managing economies, if cryptocurrencies become much larger than today they may become “an annoyance for policymakers.”

    “Cryptos do have a place in asset allocation … for as long as they are legal!” he said.

    Ultimately, Bernstein Research recommends that bitcoin can comprise from 1.5% to 10% of portfolios, depending on the cryptocurrency’s monthly returns.

    “The resulting allocation to bitcoin is low, but then within this simple optimization framework the allocation to some other asset classes is zero, so in that context bitcoin seems to empirically be potentially significant,” Fraser Jenkins wrote.
     
  2. AbbotAle

    AbbotAle

    It's been the hardest question in ALL of investment over the last few months -

    Do I buy Bitcoin and if so, where...

    Price action is nasty to a certain degree, not letting people in unless they pay up (or are quick, as in the recent mini-dump).
     
    johnarb likes this.
  3. johnarb

    johnarb

    I think bitcoin is very difficult to trade. I don't trade it myself, only hold long term. An hour ago, saw it shoot up to $19.9K + only to come crashing down to less than $19K, and then come back to over $19.5K , but now below $19 at this time. Some traders can probably trade that successfully, but I can't.

    As far as where to buy bitcoin, if in the US, Coinbase or PayPal, probably, or buy GBTC or MSTR (as a proxy). You probably meant "where" in the price points, though.
     
  4. AbbotAle

    AbbotAle

    John, yes, holding is the best option but as any long term holder will tell you, holding isn't easy with the massive price swings.

    And it's likely to not get any easier either. People new to Bitcoin are going to find out the reality of holding and it's not going to be as simple as they believe...
     
    johnarb likes this.
  5. Trader Curt

    Trader Curt

    It's not our problem they are throwing their money around. If they want to throw their money in the market without a set plan that overrides their emotions for greed then no one can help them. That's just the way the market works, and any market for that matter.
     
    johnarb likes this.
  6. johnarb

    johnarb

    Agree very much with the sentiment you're painting. The emotional swings are not so easy to deal with,

    I don't make $10's of thousands a day at my day job, but crypto pfolio swings that much in a matter of hours/minutes. When the pfolio value was lower, the swings were still in the $100's and sometimes $1000's.

    DCA is the best investment method for bitcoin. Someone did the math (it might have been posted here) on a weekly amount invested into bitcoin and even during the bear market, the account was profitable when bitcoin was not at the very low ($3200/btc). I would suggest that even if I didn't practice it in my case.