Inventory Grab Alert 4/30/09!

Discussion in 'Trading' started by AMT4SWA, May 1, 2009.

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  1. jmonday

    jmonday

    ya i see it i just asked AMT about it..
     
    #1791     Jun 15, 2009
  2. thanks... :)
     
    #1792     Jun 15, 2009
  3. Sorry......been VERY BUSY the past days and been hitting good "pay dirt" today with the many SELL's from the upper Delta Zone now hitting extended profit targets. Price now should make a run to test the lower major Delta Zone from our current multi-week range (was 880's to 876.75 on JUN contract.....now 876's to 872.75 for new contract). If we break through this level in the days ahead ALL the buyers of this trading range should be cleared out and price will most likely trade to lower levels (and a good probability to the next lower zone of resting inventory).

    Edge - your chart does show what would have been a good intraday scalp LONG trade with delta divergence (against the extended down move from today)......but once the delta dropped back to the level when you first entered you would just pull off any remainders of that LONG trade at b/e or better and call it good. As you can see, after that massive LONG covering continued as LONG players in our current multi-week range are continuing to bail. :)
     
    #1793     Jun 15, 2009
  4. Good to see others may finally add some much needed DELTA tools in the various other charting platforms. :cool:

    Cumulative Delta is definitely not hype.....it is a brilliant tool for monitoring order flow REALTIME while also visualizing the bias of the order flow through zones of RESTING INVENTORY.

    Right before your eyes the past weeks you have watched a MAJOR "net" SHORT delta zone of resting inventory build and now drive price away to lower levels (with SEVERAL rotations of price to the upper delta zone with a divergence in place......several very clear opportunities to have sold near the exact highs prior to this sell-off). :)
     
    #1794     Jun 15, 2009
  5. Thanks AMT...

    Yapper... that minor minor scalp long... lasted about 15 seconds... but its always interesting to watch the Delta Flow...

    The Delta- The River of Buys and Sells... Ole' Man River... Dat old man river... He mus'know sumpin'... he just keeps flowing... flowing along... :D
     
    #1795     Jun 15, 2009
  6. There is a very simple way to use cumulative delta for intraday only type entries (those trades which are typical with a static entry, profit targets, and stops). :) I have shown some of those examples in various places within this thread (shown as intraday scalp trades/examples). When I take scalp trades intraday I always use a tighter stop and handle these trades different than how I handle my longer term position trade set-ups......so delta can be used for more traditional methods of trading (without scale in/scale out position management). :)
     
    #1796     Jun 15, 2009
  7. Sometimes it IS in alignment and sometimes it is not........commercials are at times setting trades up very different than the rest of the pack. :) BTW, the commercials tend to be RIGHT with their trades frequently. :)
     
    #1797     Jun 15, 2009
  8. You ALWAYS want to enter a SHORT trade into a negative delta bar (and the opposite for a LONG trade).......but once I see a "quantified" amount of delta order flow transition, I will then enter trades like my examples (the amount of "quantified" delta is up to you.....I am using what works for me). If price is trading in a delta zone and I get a order flow transition, that is EXACTLY what I need to see for an entry......if I am selling I want to join a SELL RESPONSE at entry (just the opposite for a LONG trade).
     
    #1798     Jun 15, 2009
  9. Stocks CAN HAVE very different behavior than a futures contract. If you want to use delta for stocks I would say you would need to watch your listing you want to trade for at least a few months.....make sure you understand the price/order flow patterns for that listing.

    I have not spent the time using delta with stocks to verify what stocks are good and which ones are not for delta tracking (as there are different games which go on in stocks than futures). :)
     
    #1799     Jun 15, 2009
  10. Yes exactly.....there is rebalancing/and position transfer taking place since there was such a large "net" short position at/near rollover. :)
     
    #1800     Jun 15, 2009
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