Intrade: Obama 58.1% Romney 41.6%

Discussion in 'Politics & Religion' started by walter4, Sep 3, 2012.

  1. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    Based almost entirely on the stock market performance. Not an especially good indicator by itself.
     
  2. Never been wrong..
     
  3. JamesL

    JamesL

    Notice where the numbers were right before the actual ruling


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  4. Funny stuff.

    Check how high corzine's numbers were before Christie beat him.




     
  5. Bush /Kerry


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    Obama /McCain


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    2008 House

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    2008 Senate


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    2010 House(From July until election day they had Republicans taking the House over 50)

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    Wisconsin recall( Had Walker over 50 the life of the contract)

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  6. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    It is probably poll based. Even the Reps don't want a Mormon president...

    By the way fivethirtyeight gives similar chances based on the Electoral College. Obama's lead is 311 to 226:

    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/