Intraday Option Price Modeling

Discussion in 'Options' started by optionstrader2022, May 14, 2024.

  1. poopy

    poopy

    For your three lots? Yeah, Superderivatives. Go give them a call.
     
    #11     May 15, 2024
  2. 2rosy

    2rosy

    unless I am misunderstanding, can't you scale vol by sqrt(time) and rerun model
     
    #12     May 15, 2024
    poopy likes this.
  3. #13     May 15, 2024
    Matt_ORATS likes this.
  4. Matt_ORATS

    Matt_ORATS Sponsor

    You can move forward in days and adjust IV to see the new value, but not fractions of a day.
    For example, adjusting the IV down 7% and adding 2 days reduces the value by -$94.
    [​IMG]
    https://gyazo.com/90392ff25c30443463bb56e6b43b5640

     
    #14     May 15, 2024
  5. Ahhhh I see, thank you. I was looking for something specifically for intraday modeling
     
    #15     May 15, 2024
  6. ZBZB

    ZBZB

    use the interactive brokers paper trading account and insert the realtime model price between the bid and ask in TWS option trader.
     
    #16     May 15, 2024
    optionstrader2022 likes this.
  7. I'll try that out, thanks!
     
    #17     May 16, 2024
  8. MrMuppet

    MrMuppet

    intraday modelling of options is a pain in the ass. You can toss your BSM pricing into the bin and start from what you actually want to do.

    Pricing 0dte and 1dte options is completely different, as 0dte trades only 6,5h whithout any overnight volatility and 1dte has a potential overnight jump to account for.
    Start by adjusting formula to the smallest increment you can have in your data (hopefully seconds) and hope your machine and the data is in sync with the exchange.

    Another thing you have to keep in mind is the fact that theta doesn´t decay in a linear fashion. If there are numbers to be released that day you can bet your ass that the option will have zero decay while it´ll get it´s life sucked out right after the release. Interday vol trading is already crazy hard but intraday is a completly different story
     
    #18     May 16, 2024
    optionstrader2022 and cesfx like this.
  9. I have been trying to find a better theoretical calculator for multiple positions, in several timeframes. Frankly it's going to have a margin for error of ±50% except at expiry!
     
    #19     May 19, 2024
    slickman likes this.
  10. mbquant

    mbquant

    #20     Jun 3, 2024
    slickman likes this.