Was looking at the EC map and I might've jumped the gun...I forgot how big the gap was. The dems need to flip texas and florida basically. I honestly don't see any far left candidates on the Dem's roster, maybe Bernie and/or Warren way at the bottom. I think running Trump will be kryptonite for the GOP and once recession 2019 is in full force, it's game over. Good luck getting any more econ. policy done w/a dem House. When the dems win in 2020 and they see the disparity of the EC and POP vote once again, I wouldn't be surprised of an amendment being amended.
Trump won The EC by 80,000 votes.How did those and other big EC states go in 2018? In PA Dems took the Senate and Governors races. In MI Dems took the Senate and Governors races. In WI Dems took the Senate and Governors races. Democrats won the senate races in Pennsylvania,Wisconsin,Michigan,Navada,Virginia ,Minnesota ,Arizona and Ohio,the states that will decide 2020. Democrats came within 3 points in Texas after Bush and Hutchinson won it by 23 and 25,Romney and Cruz by 16 than Trump by 9.Considering how fast the margins have been dropping in Texas it might be ready to go blue as early as 2020.
Those dems that took back some seats better aim to fix voter suppression. Those Repubs that stayed, better aim to push suppression even harder.
Trumps base us not enough to win an election, he also needs millions of democrats to stay home which they recently have shown they will not do. Religious nuts do not do well in swing state state elections.While I would give Pence a better chance than Trump he would be toast too imo.Swing states will not vote for a strict pro life gay conversion President.
That would do it for sure, but therein lies the real question... will Trump let the economy slip into recession? I think we'd see Powell get replaced by Santa Clause and chop-sticks in the White House cafeteria before the powers that be let that happen.
Ill add that Ex felons will be allowed to vote in Florida in 2020.After that passed in Virginia Northem won the governorship by 9 points,which was four points higher than Obama and Hillary and Kaine won the 2018 senate race by 15 points.
Have you read the reports that Trump is glued to the TV watching the markets as he sees it as a score of his performance? How did his actions work out this last week? This last month? How 'bout them tweets? The guy is straight up incompetent man, he's been propped on daddy's money and who knows who else's money at this point. You don't keep an economy afloat starting trade wars...we've known this for a while. Do you see him walking all his idiotic decisions back, firing Navarro? Leaving the Fed. alone? That's what is going to take, and I think he fears being disliked more than he fears the economy tanking.
Actually, I think his stance on China, even if throws us into some kind of recession.... will be viewed by historians as one of his most epic accomplishments. He damn well knows that this will tank the markets. In some ways he might just be taking a hit for the home team... America. Even at the cost of his own re-election. China's decades long theft of our IP has to stop. In this regard, I think he truly IS putting America first. Some day I'm sure historians will agree.
Wrong. He is alleged to have committed serious bank fraud crimes. Any admission he made concerning campaign finance violations is not binding on Trump. Trump has several powerful defenses. One, he relied on the legal advice of his attorney, thereby negating intent. Two, payments to these women were personal, not campaign, expenses. I would not be surprised if there were similar payments in the past, long before Trump ran for office. See John Edwards case. Three, campaign finance issues have normally been handled as civil violations. Obama had to pay a fine for failure to disclose a much larger amount. Four, the optics of prosecuting Trump for a minor payment yet not prosecuting the Clinton campaign for secretly funding the Steele dossier would be atrocious. Which was more serious? Paying off a porn slut or creating a fake dossier used to get FISA warrants?
That's fine and dandy, and I want world peace and global warming to stop, but the key point here is the economy; you don't improve it by trashing your supplier chain.