Indicators are liars! Support and Resistance Trading for the S&P emini

Discussion in 'Index Futures' started by ESResistance, Sep 3, 2008.

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  1. xburbx

    xburbx

    Sorry, you are right, it was the 14th. When the trading isnt live, I'm constantly running replays from prior days, so I messed up on the day. Yea, I agree that the move was very vertical but the PA slowed so much that I went for it with tight management. I'm really curious to know how everyone would have handled the longer vid with the TICK BB extreme showing about 2pts above the line and then moving further for the official trade. PA slowed and I couldnt see a reason not to take it aside from the line it came from was a bit abused. But I wasnt using the line it came from to make the call, so a bit confused. Any thoughts?

    * As far as the first touch against the BB in an established trend, are you basing the "trend" as two large time frame LL, LH or in any trend in the day?

    *In regards to the post above mine, the second panel is the showing the TICK
     
    #911     Jan 18, 2009
  2. The established trend I was referring to was the fact that lower lows had been made as noted in the chart. That was the trend for the day which could have been seen in most any time frame.
     
    #912     Jan 19, 2009
  3. Yes it is the ES and the second panel is $Tick on a 1 min interval which is an integral part of ESR's method as I understand it.
     
    #913     Jan 19, 2009
  4. Hi everyone

    Please find attached todays levels. The S/R numbers are in the black column, the MP, Pivots, Fibs, Simple Moving Averages and Summary Numbers are for confluence and information.

    Always remember to use the numbers as a guideline for potential areas of high probability plays.

    Always use a set up based upon your system to enter a trade
    .
    Good trading all
     
    #914     Jan 20, 2009
  5. Personally I have a slow stochastic on my 1 minute $TICK chart. I found this worked reasonably well on the YM when combined with other methods.
     
    #915     Jan 20, 2009
  6. xburbx

    xburbx

    Here are 2 more videos of live trades I took today. They are on SIM, but they looked pretty good. I took 15 trades today (a bit much) with a 68% win rate (ESR style) with a target of 2:1 but only ended 1:1. I still get out way too early and I'm working on seeing the edge diminish vs getting stopped out. ESR suggested this and said it comes with practice. I'm tweaking it a bit tomorrow, but trade management will be the difference for sure. Any suggestions would be great. I am running trade management tests over the next few weeks under different scenarios. I struggle with targets getting out too early because the initial R:R is high if wrong.

    http://www.sendspace.com/file/ptlyea

    http://www.sendspace.com/file/wbjyhi
     
    #916     Jan 20, 2009
  7. mtcx2009

    mtcx2009

    I agree that S&R levels are ultra important "usually" and for larger moves.

    I disagree that indicators are useless. There are ways to use them for very reliable entries for larger moves or entries for quick in and out trades. Reliable in the 75%-90% range daily.

    It all depends how you look at them and use them. They are not always what they seem and those who can see that can make them work.
     
    #917     Jan 20, 2009
  8. mtcx2009

    mtcx2009

    I am sorry if I missed this earlier - but it looks like your using Quotetracker right? I happen to like QT either way.
     
    #918     Jan 20, 2009
  9. mtcx2009

    mtcx2009

    Well said - percentages can be brought to a much higher level with the fortitude to wait for signals near the levels of S&R.
     
    #919     Jan 20, 2009
  10. Hi everyone

    Please find attached todays levels. The S/R numbers are in the black column, the MP, Pivots, Fibs, Simple Moving Averages and Summary Numbers are for confluence and information.

    Always remember to use the numbers as a guideline for potential areas of high probability plays.

    Always use a set up based upon your system to enter a trade
    .
    Good trading all
     
    #920     Jan 21, 2009
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