Index futures scalping

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by farmerjohn1324, Oct 27, 2022.

  1. Thanks for posing a problem without a solution. And with a SL, there is a set risk. What's your credentials?
     
    #11     Oct 27, 2022
  2. Hope? Everything I'm saying is based on probability and math. Did you even read it?
     
    #12     Oct 27, 2022
  3. I admit to everyone that scalping is boring. I entered long 5 contracts a while ago at 3849.75. instead of doing my scalping strategy, I put TP at 3860 and won for profit of $2562.50. It must have just barely hit it because it doesn't even show 3860 on the 5-minute chart before plummeting to 3828, then back up to now above 3860 again since I started writing this.
     
    #13     Oct 27, 2022
    comagnum likes this.
  4. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    The winning part is. Not the losing part. That part is nowhere to be found here.

    "Take care of your losers, the winners will take care of themselves".
     
    #14     Oct 27, 2022
    Rams Fan and comagnum like this.
  5. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    I think it's all about "stop and reverse" to manage risk. I stopped using hard stops for a while cause I like to trade around bull/bear condition rather than worrying about how accurate i need to make my entries.

    With stop and reverse, you just need to figure out what's your max cycle that will still give you +ev. You can determine that based on your individual entry %
     
    #15     Oct 27, 2022
  6. You mean in the 1% of times that my SL is hit, rather than just close for a huge loss, I should close and then immediately enter the opposite trade?
     
    #16     Oct 27, 2022
  7. The purpose of the post and all the backtesting, etc. is to find how to lose in the most mathematically/statistically correct way possible.
     
    #17     Oct 27, 2022
  8. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    oh yea, forgot to mention. my rr for all trades is 1:1. Your reverse rr wouldnn't work in this case.
     
    #18     Oct 27, 2022
  9. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown

    if you scalp trade you should not have a stop loss - you should have a death stop, in case you die.

    few will understand
     
    #19     Oct 27, 2022
    Bad_Badness likes this.
  10. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    basically my strategy revolves around what's the max expected losses in a row for given % entry accuracy. You stop n reverse cycle will be based on this. Then again, your r:r is so skewed i don't think this will work if you reverse it. But at least something to think about lol
    https://math.stackexchange.com/ques...ve-failures-over-n-period-given-p-success-rat
     
    #20     Oct 27, 2022