Index futures automation

Discussion in 'Journals' started by hilmy83, Jul 3, 2022.

Can a fully automated trading strategy work in the long run?

  1. YES!

    56 vote(s)
    66.7%
  2. Hell naw.

    15 vote(s)
    17.9%
  3. I don't know, I got my own trading to worry about.

    13 vote(s)
    15.5%
  1. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    Playing around to get more accurate risk of ruin for my strategy. For the sake of calculation, let's use 30% as risk of ruin.

    Between backtests and live trading, i'm going to use conservative win,loss rate between the two:
    upload_2023-11-19_16-51-2.png

    backtest:

    upload_2023-11-19_16-51-49.png

    live trading:

    upload_2023-11-19_16-52-52.png


    The win rate wouldn't be affected much by the outliers.

    I'm going to use 70% win rate and "U" is going to be 5 (max positions allowed before bot shuts off for the day).

    My risk of ruin comes out to about 1.44%

    Just to put things in perspective:
    https://injuryfacts.nsc.org/all-injuries/preventable-death-overview/odds-of-dying/

    I have better chance of dying from cancer or heart diseases then experiencing 30% realized drawdown with this strategy.
     
    #761     Nov 19, 2023
    NoahA likes this.
  2. hilmy83

    hilmy83

  3. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    #763     Nov 22, 2023
    newwurldmn likes this.
  4. hilmy83

    hilmy83

  5. ironchef

    ironchef

    #765     Nov 23, 2023
  6. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    As real as the air you're breathing. Fellow AMP users can confirm..
     
    #766     Nov 23, 2023
    ironchef and Mo06 like this.
  7. Mo06

    Mo06

    Well done, you are being rewarded for all your hard work.
     
    #767     Nov 24, 2023
    ironchef and hilmy83 like this.
  8. hilmy83

    hilmy83

  9. hilmy83

    hilmy83

  10. hilmy83

    hilmy83