Increasing Size During Drawdown

Discussion in 'Risk Management' started by oldtime, Oct 1, 2011.

  1. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    That's not the only problem. The Kelly formula proves that you should decrease position size during a losing streak.

    The OP is a gambler.

    This is a trading forum, not a gambling forum.

    Nuff said.
     
    #181     May 14, 2013
  2. Increasing size during drawdown is a recipe for disaster, should be avoided at all costs.

    Risk management is paramount and this is the opposite of risk management, this is risk mismanagement.
     
    #182     May 14, 2013
  3. the original post was addressed more to mathematicians. I asked if anybody had run the numbers, not if losers had opinions
     
    #183     May 14, 2013
  4. We all ran the numbers. The vast majority of traders we know that do it blow up.

     
    #184     May 14, 2013
  5. Funny that you would need a mathematician to answer that question ?

    Do you also hire a Chef to boil an egg?
     
    #185     May 14, 2013
  6. I hear ya, This is a very old thread, but it keeps getting revived. It goes back to the old gamblers fallacy

    if I bet on heads even money and after twenty tosses it comes up tails each time, should I increase my bet on heads?
     
    #186     May 14, 2013
  7. luck is when opportunity and preparation meet.

    adding more to the draw down does not address the real problem...the decision making process relative risk.

    as JL once wrote, if you have multiple confirmations, go ALL IN.
    This works....until it DOESN'T. Ha!

    I recco you trade with 5% of your capital on most trades, and go big with some careful and prudent understanding.

    Keep most of your capital out of brokerage.
     
    #187     May 14, 2013
  8. Why does every gambler want to call a gambler a gambler?
     
    #188     May 14, 2013
  9. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    Stop lying. You didn't ask crap about mathematics in the first post, you asked if anybody (else) had fooled around with doing the opposite of what both mathematics and common sense says you should do. Sounds like loser-speak to me. :p
     
    #189     May 14, 2013
  10. whatever, it was years ago, if you want to read all pages somewhere that is what it got down to

    but thanks for telling me what common sense says I should do, not much of an explanation, but I'll take your word for it. You sound like an expert mathematician.
     
    #190     May 14, 2013