You don’t know this. You are making shit up. 50% is not necessarily required for herd immunity. The tests are bunk. They see old coronaviruses or they miss them completely. There is no explanation for near zero deaths for months other than this thing has burned out...no lockdown no masks limited distancing. Sweden wins.
Buy1sell2 has nothing to say but flat denial propaganda and never has, never will. The other worthless little monster is copying his boss I'm sure Tegnell will be relieved to know the retards advise that his numbers don't match the internet. "However, around 1,200 new cases and five deaths have been reported since Friday compared to around 200 cases per day in the last weeks. The increase in new cases cannot solely be explained by increased testing, the Public Health Agency said on Tuesday. "The rolling average has increased somewhat," Anders Tegnell, Sweden's chief epidemiologist who devised its pandemic strategy, told a news conference. "It hasn't affected the healthcare - yet. The number of new cases at ICU is very low and the number of deaths are very low," he said. Tegnell said that new measures for the capital could not be ruled out. "We have a discussion with Stockholm about whether we need to introduce measures to reduce the spread of infection. Exactly what that will be, we will come back to in the next few days," he said. Earlier on Tuesday Stockholm's top health official warned that the region saw an increase in cases. "The downwards trend is broken," Stockholm Director of Health and Medical Services Bjorn Eriksson told a news conference. "We can only hope that this is a blip, that the spread start decreasing again. That depends on how well we follow the guidelines," he said."
By the very definition of the science behind herd immunity, 50% is the lowest level that will even slow the spread of a highly infectious disease. All the papers showing this were posted earlier.
But this isn’t necessarily true. 50% herd for Covid May not be needed. some studies are being done that are showing this is a possibility
All the studies such as the University of Stockholm study suggesting 43 per cent of the population will provide COVID-19 herd immunity have all come under scientific criticism for being completely unrealistic and pushing assumptions that simply are not true.
It’s controversial but it’s being studied ... which is quite scientific. The low number of cases and deaths in Sweden despite the low antibody numbers is a glaring question mark.
Signs COVID cases rising in Sweden again 'worrying' says PM Lofven https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...n-again-worrying-says-pm-lofven-idUSKCN26F1YL Some areas of Sweden are seeing a worrying resurgence of coronavirus infections because many people seem to have set aside months of caution in favour of full-on social life once again, its prime minister said on Thursday. Unlike most countries, Sweden eschewed a mandatory national lockdown against the pandemic, instead calling for personal responsibility, social distancing and good hygiene to slow rather than eradicate a disease seen as here to stay. Though still with a COVID-19 caseload much lower than in many other European countries, Sweden has recorded a gradual rise in new infections in recent weeks. On Thursday 533 new ones were reported, the highest daily number since early July. Prime Minister Stefan Lofven said Swedes had recently become too relaxed about heeding anti-COVID guidelines. “In Sweden, the situation is comparatively...stable, but we also see signs that the number of infections is increasing in certain areas in our country. That’s worrying,” he told a news conference. “The caution that existed in the spring has more and more been replaced by hugs and parties, bus trips in rush-hour traffic, and an everyday life that, for many, seems to return to normal. “What we do right now, we will be glad of later. What we do wrong now, we will suffer for later,” Lofven added. He urged Swedes to adhere to social distancing and good hygiene standards, warning the government was ready to introduce stricter measures if needed to curb the spread of the virus. “Unfortunately, we are seeing a small upturn in Sweden,” Chief Epidemiologist Anders Tegnell told reporters. “It is moving slowly but surely in the wrong direction, something we talked about that could happen in the autumn when we returned to workplaces.” Sweden reported two new deaths from COVID-19 on Thursday, taking the Total to 5,878 since the start of the pandemic. That toll is many times more per capita than in its Nordic neighbours, but also well below countries like Spain and Italy that opted for hard national lockdowns. The government also said on Thursday it had decided to extend a loan guarantee scheme for small and mid-sized businesses until the end of the year.
Sweden's coronavirus deaths have dropped dramatically, but that doesn't mean its herd-immunity strategy worked, experts say https://www.businessinsider.com/sweden-decline-coronavirus-deaths-cases-2020-9 Sweden's rate of coronavirus deaths per capita was among the highest in the world in May. Many experts attributed this to the country's decision to avoid a full lockdown and either deliberately or inadvertently pursue herd immunity. Sweden's deaths and ICU admissions have declined considerably since June, likely due to protections for nursing-home residents and more social distancing over the summer months. But cases could still climb again as schools reopen, nursing homes allow visitors, and people return home to cities after summer vacation. Sweden seems to have staged a remarkable turnaround. After imposing few lockdown rules relative to the rest of the world this spring, the nation's death count per capita soared to among the highest in the world in May. But over the last week, Sweden saw an average of just three daily deaths compared to a peak of 115 in April. Its death toll per capita — now around 58 deaths per every 100,000 people — has fallen behind that of 13 other countries, including the US and UK. The country's daily ICU admissions have also hovered in the single digits since the beginning of July. Experts attribute the decline in deaths to four main factors. One is Sweden's five-month ban on large gatherings, which likely helped slow transmission over time. Second is the country's official guidance asking people to social distance and work from home. Third is the country's summer vacation period, which led people to leave cities. And fourth is the nation's renewed focus on improving safety in nursing homes. But Sweden's recent success doesn't mean its strategy worked overall. "They basically reached this plateau now, whereas others reached it a few months ago," Christian Althaus, an epidemiologist at the University of Bern in Switzerland, told Business Insider. "Because they're lifting measures now, case numbers will probably go up." Sweden lifted its ban on nursing-home visits last week. Children ages 17 and older went back to school in August. Starting October 1, Sweden is also expected to start allowing gatherings of up to 500 people at public events as long as physical distancing is observed. Combined, experts say, those factors could increase the risk of new transmission, leading to a second wave. What worked in Sweden Residents of elderly care homes account for nearly half of Sweden's coronavirus deaths, so curbing transmission in those facilities in particular seems to have caused deaths to fall significantly. Sweden banned visitors at nursing homes in March. Since then, the facilities have gotten stricter about requiring social distancing and face masks. In recent months, the Swedish government also began working with care homes to make it easier for staff to report instances in which an elderly patient didn't get proper care or sufficient access to a doctor. In May, Sweden's prime minister pledged 2.2 billion kronor ($220 million) in funding for more staff in elderly care homes. By July, nursing-home staff in Stockholm said they were no longer short on personal protective equipment. On top of these initiatives, timing seems to have been on Sweden's side. The country's vacation period lasts longer than that of other countries: from May through September. During that time, many residents abandon cities in favor of lengthy holidays in the countryside, where people are more spread out. That likely people to spend more time outdoors, where transmission is less likely, and naturally decreased the frequency of interactions between people overall. Softer measures for a longer period of time While most countries were asking residents to stay home in March, Sweden's state epidemiologist, Anders Tegnell, controversially chose to keep Sweden's primary schools, restaurants, bars, and gyms open. Earlier this month, Tegnell told the Financial Times that national lockdowns were like "using a hammer to kill a fly." But he added that contrary to popular belief, Sweden's goal was never to allow the virus to run rampant until the majority of the population was exposed. Instead, Tegnell said, leaders relied on residents to exercise personal responsibility. All but 2% of Swedish residents who responded to a government poll in April said they'd changed their behavior to protect themselves from COVID-19. In May, 87% of respondents reported that they were keeping a greater distance from others in shops, restaurants, and on public transport. Sweden did impose some restrictions, though: It closed high schools and universities for three months, urged people to work from home, required social distancing in bars and restaurants, and told the sick and elderly to stay home. Gatherings of more than 50 people were banned in March. "There is often quite a misconception about what has been done and what is being done in Sweden," Althaus said. "Whereas other European countries had maybe more strict measures and lockdowns, but came out of that in April or May, Sweden had softer measures, but kept them in place for a very long time." Even so, the consequences of that lax approach are now clear: From January to June, Sweden recorded more than 51,000 deaths — its highest death toll over that six-month period since a famine swept the country 150 years ago. "They misjudged quite a bit, obviously, because for a long time they were talking about 'Well this is just a bit like the flu or a bit stronger,'" Althaus said. "But you can also argue that the other European countries overdid it a bit. The right balance is probably in between." Swedish's advantage: small households In viewing Sweden's current low rate of coronavirus deaths, it's tempting to wonder whether other countries should take any queues. But experts say Sweden's small households make it hard to apply recent lessons learned there to other places. "Before claiming 'what country X is doing would have [the] same effect here,' we need to consider whether there are key differences in population structure between countries," Adam Kucharski, an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, recently wrote on Twitter. Importantly, Sweden has a lower proportion of multigenerational households relative to most other European countries. Roughly one-third of Sweden's elderly population lives alone compared to just one-fifth of elderly residents in Greece or Spain. Sweden also has one of the smallest average household sizes in Europe: about 2.2 people per household. By contrast, the US and Russia have an average of 2.6 people per household, while Brazil has 3.3. Studies show that the coronavirus' secondary attack rate is highest among household contacts. A June study found that attack rate was 20% within households, compared to only 6% among the general public. Other studies have found that the attack rate among households could be as high as 50%. Althaus estimated that half of coronavirus transmission may occur within households. "It can be helpful to think of an epidemic as a series of within-household outbreaks, linked by between household transmission," Kucharski wrote. The high proportion of Swedish residents living alone or in small groups therefore likely made it easier to slow transmission — particularly after elderly-care facilities got their outbreaks under control. 'The death toll really came as a surprise' Although Tegnell has changed his tune somewhat since the spring, emails obtained by Swedish journalists showed he initially considered whether Sweden could reach herd immunity — the threshold at which enough of a population becomes immune to the virus to halt transmission. In April, Tegnell told the Financial Times that he expected 40% of people in Stockholm to be immune to the coronavirus by the end of May. That didn't happen: A study from University College London estimated that the level of infection in Stockholm was around 17% in April — the same as in London. Then in June, Tegnell estimated that up to 30% of Sweden's population could be immune, but a national study showed that just 6.1% of people had developed coronavirus antibodies by late May. Althaus said the idea that Sweden would reach herd immunity was "always sort of ridiculous." Scientists widely agree that the safest way to achieve herd immunity is through vaccination, not natural infection. "This idea that, basically 50%, 60%, 70% of people get infected and then the problem is solved, that was never really based on scientific foundation," Althaus said. "It's very unlikely that something like that can be achieved, and even if it could be achieved, it would come — at least in countries with a population demography like European countries or the US — with a huge cost." Tegnell has even admitted that Sweden should have implemented tougher restrictions. "If we were to encounter the same illness with the same knowledge that we have today, I think our response would land somewhere in between what Sweden did and what the rest of the world has done," he told Swedish Radio in June. Tegnell also told "The Daily Show" host Trevor Noah that he underestimated how hard the virus would hit older people. "We calculated on more people being sick, but the death toll really came as a surprise to us," Tegnell said on the show in May, adding, "we really thought our elderly homes would be much better at keeping this disease outside of them."
Some people try to make Sweden out as a no lockdown paradise. Yet they ignore that all sports stadiums, movie theaters, concerts, larger weddings and all over gatherings for over 50 people have been shut down in Sweden. Sweden to ease COVID restrictions on public gatherings in some cases https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-sweden-idUSKBN26K1KA Sweden will keep its rule that a maximum of 50 people can meet in public, but plans to introduce exceptions to the rule for restaurants and events where spectators can be seated and not pass on the coronavirus, the government said on Tuesday. “The limit for 50 participants remains as a general rule, but there will be exceptions,” Home Affairs Minister Mikael Damberg told reporters. The exception for restaurants will be implemented on October 8. The government said it planned to allow up to 500 people to watch events such as football matches, concerts and theatre performances where spectators could be seated at least 1 meter apart. Damberg said that could happen as soon as Oct. 15, but the decision has yet to be formally taken.