In the Coronavirus Fight in Scandinavia, Sweden Stands Apart

Discussion in 'Politics' started by wildchild, Mar 30, 2020.

  1. jem

    jem

    #1561     Nov 13, 2020
  2. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    #1562     Nov 13, 2020
  3. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    COVID-19 hospitalizations soar in lockdown-free Sweden amid second wave
    https://nypost.com/2020/11/12/covid-19-hospitalizations-surging-in-sweden-amid-second-wave/

    Coronavirus hospitalizations are surging in lockdown-eschewing Sweden as the country grapples with a second wave of the virus, data shows.

    There are currently 1,004 patients being treated for the virus in the Nordic nation’s hospitals — up 60 percent from the previous week’s 627, the Guardian reported.

    “We consider the situation extremely serious,” Björn Eriksson, the director of healthcare for the Stockholm region, told state media.

    Eriksson added, “we can expect noticeably more people needing hospital care over the coming weeks.”

    Data from the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control suggests Sweden’s hospitalization rate may be climbing faster in recent weeks than other countries in the region, the Guardian reported.

    New case counts are also soaring throughout the country, hitting a seven-day average this week of more than 4,000, the outlet reported.

    The nation saw 4,658 new infections alone on Thursday, one of its worst days on record since the pandemic began.

    Sweden’s second wave comes after the country controversially called for citizens to hold themselves accountable for social distancing, instead of closing borders and ordering strict lockdowns.

    Anders Tegnell, the nation’s top epidemiologist, has been a proponent of herd immunity, despite critics arguing there’s no evidence to suggest that enough people becoming infected would end the pandemic.

    On Thursday, Tegnell said there are likely fewer people with undetected infections than previously believed.

    “The number of people we don’t find with diagnostics is with high probability smaller than we thought,” he said.

    But he acknowledged there has been a resurgence of the virus, after initially suggesting that such a scenario was unlikely.

    “I don’t think the definition is that important, but we see community spread in many regions simultaneously right now,” Tegnell said.
     
    #1563     Nov 13, 2020
  4. LacesOut

    LacesOut

    #1564     Nov 14, 2020
    jem likes this.
  5. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Why do COVID-19 deaths in Sweden always appear to decrease in the last 10 days?
    https://ourworldindata.org/covid-sweden-death-reporting

    There are two ways that COVID-19 deaths can be presented over time: by the date of death, or the date on which the death is reported. Neither of these methods is necessarily better than the other—but it can affect comparisons across countries and over time if these methods are not consistent.

    In the data that we present on Our World in Data, which comes directly from the European CDC, deaths in Sweden are shown by date of death, while deaths in other countries are shown by date of report.

    This matters because it takes a number of days until all deaths for a particular day are reported. In practice this means that Sweden might today only report 10 deaths for yesterday, but once reporting is complete the death count for that day might increase to 40.

    The death counts for the last 10 days in Sweden should therefore always be interpreted as an incomplete count of the deaths that occurred in this period.

    How confirmed deaths are presented for Sweden
    COVID-19 deaths are reported by the Swedish government by the date on which the death occurred.

    Since there is a lag between the time a person dies and the time the death is reported, the death counts for the most recent period are always incomplete. They are often most incomplete for the latest 2 to 5 days, but can be incomplete for 10 days or more. This undercount in recent days means that they often appear to be falling; but when this is later completed, data shows that more deaths were occurring during that period.

    This means that for the last 10 days of data, death counts in Sweden must only be interpreted as incomplete measures of mortality.

    As an example, this chart shows what confirmed deaths looked like for the period from October 20 to October 29, when the data was first published on October 30 (red series), and once many more death certificates had been added on November 12 (blue series).

    One day after October 29, it looked as if deaths had peaked on October 27 and then started to fall, but in reality that’s not what happened over this period. What actually happened is shown by the blue series: deaths increased steadily.

    This also means that each day, the Swedish government will add new deaths for multiple days in the past—mostly on recent days, but on average up to 10 days in the past, and sometimes even more, if deaths have been reported with a long delay.

    Our source for COVID-19 deaths, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, updates its figures for Sweden directly from the Swedish government’s data. This means that these daily changes affecting the historical data will be visible on our charts.

    Sweden is the only country for which the European CDC currently applies this method for the reporting of deaths. It is also important to note that this does not apply to confirmed cases, but only to confirmed deaths.

    [​IMG]

    How confirmed deaths are presented for other countries

    For other countries, the European CDC does not build its dataset based on the date of death, but rather based on the date of report. More precisely, every morning the European CDC collects each country’s cumulative total number of deaths since the start of the pandemic, and subtracts the previous day’s total from it.

    This results in a daily figure that corresponds to the number of deaths reported in the last 24 hours—regardless of when those deaths actually happened. This means that if the death toll for a country was 20 for a given day, it will remain 20 indefinitely.1

    There is nothing wrong with how Sweden or other countries are reporting deaths. But it is important to know these differences when studying the data from Sweden, and even more when comparing it with other countries.
     
    #1565     Nov 16, 2020
  6. Hotcakes

    Hotcakes

    2 day whole people a day ?

    We better bankrupt the global economy ....
     
    #1566     Nov 16, 2020
  7. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Sweden unveils tougher coronavirus restrictions
    Europe’s outlier on Covid-19 is forced to step up measures to fight the virus as cases surge
    https://www.ft.com/content/67fc5152-d500-4b9e-ad5c-79e1bf2b68e2

    Sweden has unveiled tougher restrictions to fight coronavirus as Europe’s outlier on Covid-19 is forced to step up measures to fight the virus as it faces surging numbers of cases and deaths.

    Warning that the situation was “going to get worse”, Prime Minister Stefan Lofven said on Monday the limit on public gatherings in Sweden would be cut from 50 people to eight.

    “It is a clear and sharp signal to every person in our country as to what applies in the future. Don’t go to the gym, don’t go the library, don’t have dinner out, don’t have parties — cancel!” Mr Lofven told a press conference.

    Sweden has stood out from the rest of Europe by refusing to order a legal lockdown and instead preferring to rely on recommendations to people to wash their hands, keep a distance, and work from home.

    The country’s health authorities said in the spring that Sweden was unlikely to be hit by a second wave as it suffered more deaths than its Nordic neighbours in the first wave. But Sweden’s cases per capita, hospitalisations and deaths are all increasing rapidly now.

    Mr Lofven called the ban on large public gatherings a “new normal”. He added: “Advice and recommendations went a long way this spring, but now compliance [with them] is lower. Now more of a ban is needed to bring down the curve of the number infected.”

    (More at above url)
     
    #1567     Nov 16, 2020
  8. wrbtrader

    wrbtrader

    I'm still waiting for Sweden health officials or ET members that had stated Sweden had already reached herd immunity...same idiots that say they themselves have T-cell immunity even though they've never been tested for such...:D

    Waiting for herd immunity to be announced by Sweden health officials (not by ET members).

    As I stated many times
    , Sweden will one day reach herd immunity about the same time as the rest of the world reaches herd immunity but only after a vaccine has been found and distributed to the world population.

    wrbtrader
     
    #1568     Nov 16, 2020
  9. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Sweden 'got it wrong on herd immunity', says ex-health chief as infections soar
    Sweden's former chief epidemiologist Annika Linde criticised her successor, Anders Tegnell, and said he wrongly believed the Nordic nation would have herd immunity to protect it from a second wave of Covid-19
    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/sweden-wrong-herd-immunity-says-23014969

    Sweden got it wrong on herd immunity and failed to adequately prepare for the second wave of coronavirus, the country's former chief epidemiologist claims.

    Annika Linde has criticised her successor, Anders Tegnell, amid a sharp rise in infections, including a record 5,990 confirmed new cases on Friday, and hospital admissions surging at the fastest rate in Europe.

    She claims "wishful thinking" led Tegnell and his team to wrongly to believe that herd immunity would protect the country from another wave of Covid-19 this autumn.

    Sweden's soft-touch approach and no-lockdown strategy has divided opinion, especially as other European countries imposed national lockdowns, but in recent weeks it has imposed tighter local restrictions to curb the rapid spread of the virus.

    Linde, who was Sweden's state epidemiologist until Tegnell took over in 2013, claims the Public Health Agency has been reluctant to plan for the worst throughout the pandemic.

    She told The Telegraph: "Wishful thinking - when you don't believe in the worst scenario - has been guiding Swedish decisions too much.

    "The Swedish authorities have been slow all the time. Instead of being proactive, they've run after the virus, and the virus has been able to spread too much before they take action."

    Sweden has reported 177,355 cases of Covid-19 and 6,164 deaths since the start of the pandemic.

    [​IMG]

    The number of new cases is rising by as much as 50 per cent every week.

    While Sweden's death rate per capita is lower than in countries such as Spain and Britain, it is more than 10 times higher than neighbouring Norway and almost five times higher than in Denmark.

    In May, Tegnell predicted Sweden would have a "high level of immunity" and a low number of cases during a second wave.

    By mid-summer, he attributed a sharp drop in cases to the development of a herd immunity against the virus during the first wave.

    As a result, he said, Sweden would have an easier time controlling the virus than its neighbours, which had imposed lockdowns.

    That prediction was wrong, and Tegnell admitted on Thursday that Sweden's immunity is lower than previously thought and the country of 10 million people is fighting a second wave.

    He said last week: "It is a different situation than we had in the spring when it was more local.

    "Now we have a community spread in many regions at the same time, which is partly a reason why we see such high numbers."

    Despite the situation, he said Sweden remains steadfast in its strategy of voluntary measures and no lockdowns.

    Tegnell told Reuters on Friday: "We will keep on this path. This is how we work in Sweden.

    "We have big understanding for this and a huge adherence to the rules."

    Referring to Tegnell's immunity prediction, Linde said: "I hoped he was right. It would have been great. But he wasn't."

    The Public Health Agency has imposed stricter restrictions in 17 of 21 of Sweden's regions, as well as a 10pm curfew on bars.

    While other countries go into large-scale shutdowns, Sweden has kept schools, restaurants and other businesses open throughout the pandemic.

    It has focused on voluntary measures aimed at promoting social distancing and good hygiene, such as working from home if possible, avoiding public transport and crowded indoor activities.

    Tegnell has received praise for the approach, but he has even received death threats from people accusing him of pursuing a reckless policy.
     
    #1569     Nov 16, 2020
  10. jem

    jem

    #1570     Nov 16, 2020