If you had 50k gamble what would your bet be

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Daring, Sep 16, 2012.

  1. ssss

    ssss

    In Monte Carlo Roullete with Prisoner and La Partage Rule

    advantage of House is only 1.35%

    50.675 against 49.325

    or 73 bet from 148(4*37) with payment 1:1 for you ,
    75 for casino

    In Europha win in lotto/casino is not taxed

    Spread , margin and broker fees ,tax ...on stock exchange

    But ,it is not the suggest that Roulette is best choice ...

    in each case


    If operator is dissadvantaged ,best strategy to win make limited quantity of heavy bet

    Example

    Going to Casino and make 3 bet's with payement 1:1 in row with reinvestment

    if win ... going out with 8 time's amount of the money
     
    #51     Sep 27, 2012
  2. ssss

    ssss

    Can try to make some kind of roulette on stock exchange


    But ...spread ,broker and margin fees and tax ,if win
     
    #52     Sep 27, 2012
  3. ssss

    ssss

    As stated before in another thread

    Belov in thread are result and trading record(!) best performers in real money contest 41 month * 5000 -10 000 attempts = until .5 mln
    attempts

    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=247149


    Most of them used 500-600$ ,Top performer performed 128 times in month on capital 1296 $

    Only 6 operators have result better as 2000 % per month

    only 8-th performed with account equity more as 10 000 $

    8. februar 2012-1918.36% china A.e. 13928$-281128$


    Risk capital must be lowered from 50 000 $
    until 500 -1000 $
     
    #53     Sep 27, 2012
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    ssss

    List of U.S. jackpots of at least $300 million
    $656 million, Mega Millions (March 30, 2012) shared by 3 tickets: Kansas, Illinois, and Maryland. Cash payout $474 million.
    $390 million, Mega Millions (March 6, 2007), 2 tickets: Georgia and New Jersey. Cash payout $233.1 million, third largest in American lottery history.
    $380 million, Mega Millions (January 4, 2011), 2 tickets: Holly Lahti of Rathdrum, Idaho; and Jim and Carolyn McCullar of Ephrata, Washington. (Cash payout $240 million, second largest cash value claim in American lottery history, pending the outcome of $337m annuity/$244.7m cash jackpot below, won on August 15, 2012)
    $365 million, Powerball (February 18, 2006); Nebraska. Biggest win on one ticket; shared by eight workers in a meatpacking plant.
    $363 million, The Big Game (precursor of Mega Millions), May 9, 2000, by 2 tickets (Illinois and Michigan.)
    $340 million, Powerball (October 19, 2005); Oregon.[1] The cash value, $164.4 million, was split by the Chaney and West families.[2]
    (pending) $337 million, Powerball (August 15, 2012); Michigan. Cash payout, $244.7 million, would be largest in Powerball history if the ticket is claimed.
    $336 million, Powerball (February 11, 2012); Rhode Island. Louise White of Newport chose the cash payout, $210 million, then largest in Powerball history.[3][4]
    $336 million, Mega Millions (August 28, 2009); California and New York.
    $331 million, The Big Game (April 16, 2002) by 3 tickets (Georgia, Illinois, and New Jersey.)
    $330 million, Mega Millions, (August 31, 2007) by 4 tickets (New Jersey, Maryland, Texas, and Virginia.)
    $319 million, Mega Millions (March 25, 2011); New York.
    $315 million, Mega Millions, won November 15, 2005, by a group called "The Lucky 7", in Anaheim, California, Choosing cash, their prize was $175 million.[5]
    $314.9 million, Powerball, won December 25, 2002, by Andrew J. Whittaker Jr., in West Virginia. Opting for the lump sum, as with most winners, his prize was $170,505,876[6]
    $314.3 million, Powerball (August 25, 2007); Indiana.335,000,000
     
    #54     Sep 27, 2012
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    http://minervini.com/bio.php

    Mark Minervini is one of America's most successful stock traders; a veteran of Wall Street for nearly 30 years. To demonstrate the capabilities of his SEPA® methodology, in 1997, Minervini put up $250,000 of his own money and entered the U.S. Investing Championship. Trading against stock, futures and options traders, he traded a long only stock portfolio to win the real-money investment derby with a 155% annual return, a performance that was nearly double the next nearest competing money manager.

    Minervini is featured in Jack Schwager's Stock Market Wizards; Conversations with America's Top Stock Traders. Schwager wrote: "Minervini's performance has been nothing short of astounding. Most traders and money managers would be delighted to have Minervini's worst year – a 128 percent gain – as their best."

    Using his SEPA® trading strategy, in a five-and-a-half-year period Minervini generated a 220 percent average annual return with only one losing quarter. To put that in perspective, a $100,000 account would explode to over $30 million with those returns.

    http://minervini.com/

    http://markminerviniblog.blogspot.de/


    Schwager promouted person Mark D. Cook

    http://www.markdcook.com/
     
    #55     Sep 27, 2012
  6. ssss

    ssss

    Illustrative example of very risk bet

    http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/natural-gas/natural-gas.html


    Natural Gas was 5 years before approx 13 $

    Today 3.250 $

    By http://www.fxcm.co.uk

    10 NGAS CFD have liquidation margin 400 $

    Start account equity 1000 $

    buy 10 NGAS with 3.260 ,Stop Loss 3.200 $ (-600$)

    if NGAS going 1$ from 3.26 $ until 4.26 $ -win 10 000 $ on
    1000 $ account equity
    if going down untill 3.200 -loss 600 $ (60% of account equity)
     
    #56     Sep 27, 2012