If You Can Draw A Straight Line . . .

Discussion in 'Journals' started by dbphoenix, Jun 28, 2013.

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  1. Thanks DB.

    In terms of the microscope I have to say that it does not really matter if it's tick or second chart I believe. As I'm also currently experimenting with the NASDAQ tick as an overlay here and volume to show "interest" I found the 5 second chart the best.

    I'm very slowly getting used to everything. A big step I believe was or is to filter the main boundaries of price and watch what happens within - and of course at the extremes.

    But there is so much more to do especially in terms of backtesting.
    Would you agree that a "setup" contains a "level of trust" and a price behaviour showing a shift between buying and selling pressure in the first place?

    At least, that is something I'm looking for atm.

    Nothing new of course as the whole thread is more or less about this..

    Btw. thanks again for your efforts...also to Gringo and fortydraws...
    This is all good...
     
    #741     Aug 29, 2013
  2. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    It's also worth noting, though perhaps not for today, that the midpoint of the reaction from 3150 to 3050 is 3100, which acted as resistance four times since the 18th.

    Funny how these things dovetail.
     
    #742     Aug 29, 2013
  3. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    I assume you mean the TICKQ?

    I don't want to assume that I know what you mean by "level of trust", but it sounds good. I can't say that I really "trust" anything other than my not always reliable ability to detect changes in the demand/supply balance (this requires a familiarity with the 1m interval, or less). But it's essential that one determine in advance what his entry and exit triggers will be. Most beginners just sit there like a deer in headlights when price doesn't do what they expect it to do, leaving it up to the market to manage their trade. I prefer to take a more active role. This business of detecting these changes has always been a hurdle for beginners (even those who've been at this for ten years) which is why I came up with this straight line business. But one can simplify only so much. At some point, one can either see it or he can't.

    For example, price hammered away at 58 for 18 hours before yesterday's open, so going long at the open was pretty much a duh (sellers had 18 hours to drop price and couldn't do it). So, in a case like that, I'd give price as much room as possible.
     
    #743     Aug 29, 2013
  4. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    Or not. Looks like buyers don't have it after all, and we're circling this midpoint. Since price hasn't rejected it (sinking to 71 doesn't constitute a rejection in my book), I suggest standing aside.
     
    #744     Aug 29, 2013
  5. fortydraws

    fortydraws

    I was unhappy with how I handled yesterday. My long entry was not as favorable as it might have been, and my exit obviously earlier than it needed to be. I think my late reaction to what I had been actually expecting is what through off my equilibrium yesterday. By the time I exited the trade I was simply not seeing price as I knew I needed to see it, so I stopped altogether.
     
    #745     Aug 29, 2013
  6. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    Always a smart thing to do.
     
    #746     Aug 29, 2013
  7. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    If we make it to 64 before the open, it'll be real interesting to see what buyers do, though 68 may also serve as a platform.
     
    #747     Aug 29, 2013
  8. Yes. Have to say that it can be tricky, but in general together with volume at breakouts or extremes it could maybe be "the icing on the cake" - as you mentioned once...


    It is all not easy for me, but I think I know what to look for and where - and with where I just mean levels found by the presented techniques.

    Then there is the hurdle of actually doing it...wait...watch closely...enter...watch closely...maybe exit...maybe scale...maybe do nothing...wait...exit...knowing this in advance and also what one would be doing in case is a level I have not reached yet.

    Another thing is simple surfing the (big) waves which the market presents. I was clearly visible that after the news the bulls where maybe not able to push price higher, but I did not think about shorting...even if macro direction is also down maybe...
     
    #748     Aug 29, 2013
  9. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    Daytrading is not the end-all and be-all. Most "daytraders" aren't even daytrading in the first place. They're trading at work or between classes or wherever when they really ought to be trading EOD, or at least 60m intervals. But they insist.

    Follow the smaller intervals when you can just so you can get an idea of what traders are up to, but trade whatever interval is most comfortable and also most reasonable.
     
    #749     Aug 29, 2013
  10. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    And we bounce off 68. Anybody know why?
     
    #750     Aug 29, 2013
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