if one can predict market daily movement 55% correctly, how to profit from it ?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by jimshaw, Oct 4, 2010.

  1. Trade Binary Options
     
    #21     Oct 5, 2010
  2. jimshaw

    jimshaw

    In the graph, do you assume that 51% win or 55% win ?


     
    #22     Oct 5, 2010
  3. gtor514

    gtor514

    For the simulation I showed, I requested a maximum win rate of 55%. The actual simulation used a 51% win rate which resulted in the graph.

    My apologies for not clarifying that better.
     
    #23     Oct 6, 2010
  4. d08

    d08

    Consistency is what matters. 55% doesn't say anything about it. If we all could afford to ignore consistency, this would be easy.
     
    #24     Oct 6, 2010
  5. Hawk on the TV,web,etc.. for 29.95 a book on how to become a millionaire. And of course call up customers and try to sell them on bigger packages, such as the 499.95 special CD/DVD video set and traning materials etc..

    Make sure to make the TV ads show a bunch of trailer park trash going from the trailer to Mansions and show them holding up big checks as they sit next to the Ferrari and docked Yacht.


    You will make a big chunk of money.
     
    #25     Oct 6, 2010
  6. How is "win ratio" different from "consistency"?
     
    #26     Oct 6, 2010
  7. Are you serious?

    Some of the largest trading strategies depend on controlling the commissions + the spread and keeping them to a minimum.

    Obviously you are not aware that on the large hedge fund scale this is very important.
     
    #27     Oct 6, 2010
  8. I was talking about "Joe one-lot" doing his discretionary trade struggle... not the automated algo and HFT ETers.
     
    #28     Oct 6, 2010
  9. Your full of shit. Period. Running a 1/30 Risk/Reward with a 50% hit rate would make you the best trader who ever lived.

    Crawl back in your hole...
     
    #29     Oct 6, 2010
  10. d08

    d08

    So it's okay if you had all the winners inside a 2 year period but your sample size is 10 years? A system that returns 200% in 2008 but 5% in the previous 3 years is not a good one, whatever the win ratio or average return says.
     
    #30     Oct 6, 2010