if everyone loses money, why not do the opposite?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by 1a2b3cppp, Jul 15, 2018.

  1. padutrader

    padutrader

    people lose money because they do not know what they are doing.....if THEY do not know, how are you going to find out what they are doing
    If you can find that out then and only then you can do opposite and why bother because what will you do if he blows his account,stops trading, and becomes Trump's financial advisor?

    why bother: figure out what the market is doing
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2018
    #21     Jul 15, 2018
  2. padutrader

    padutrader

    double top and triple tops are signs of countertrend strength because if the trend traders were strong there would have been a lower high. there will be a move away from the double top but i always fade it.
    see most double tops are broken eventually
     
    #22     Jul 15, 2018
  3. padutrader

    padutrader

    how do you know what is the bottom?

    normal market 90% of the time moves both ways so for half the time it is going opposite to sentiment.
    sentiment may be longer term driver and extreme sentiment may indicate turning points but just what is extreme sentiment?
    An extreme sentiment how do you judge it ? i have seen it become even more extreme.

    trading public information, such as volume sentiment, common technical analysis,even commonly known fundamentals,do not give you any edge,and makes you a sitting duck for an institution.
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2018
    #23     Jul 15, 2018
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    Last edited: Jul 15, 2018
    #24     Jul 15, 2018
  5. Untitled-14.gif
     
    #25     Jul 15, 2018
  6. padutrader

    padutrader


    yes this may work Why?
    because i dont have a clue what you are talking about : VWAP and standard deviation bars?

    If i do not have a clue and i have been studying publicly known technical analysis for 25 years-meaning what ever is available FREE on the net........i suspect many people may not know either
    but nowadays all edges are fleeting and your strategy has to allow for it.....maybe by taking profits a little or even lot earlier
     
    #26     Jul 15, 2018
  7. smallfil

    smallfil

    You might know what you are doing, analyzed the stockchart thoroughly, got in at a precise entry point and still, your trade does not work and you end up losing monies! Now, what you do next is going to determine how it ends for you! 1) You hang on and suffer larger losses as a result, 2) Sell and take the small loss now, 3) Reverse your position and you could end up with a profit or another loss? Now, what do you do?
     
    #27     Jul 15, 2018
  8. Should take you 5 seconds to google VWAP for free on the internet,,,
     
    #28     Jul 16, 2018
  9. padutrader

    padutrader

    depends on your strategy...you cannot sell the top or buy the bottom..so every trader has to bear some pain/drawdown 99% of the time
     
    #29     Jul 16, 2018
  10. padutrader

    padutrader

    i am not going to chase every pretty girl there is out there
    there are many strategies that work but do not suit me....i have one custom made, for me, by me.
    Thanks for the suggestion
     
    #30     Jul 16, 2018