identifying trends and patterns before they form.

Discussion in 'Psychology' started by mute9003, Dec 22, 2022.

  1. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Before they form ?
    Why would I wait such time, money and energy ?

    You ain’t get paid predicting head & shoulders.

    You backest patterns,
    You don’t gamble on their appearance.
    Or you systematize it and it becomes another pattern.

    Anyway …

    You trade an established pattern,
    Otherwise you’re just throwing money away.

    Prediction is for fortune tellers.
    You want to predict the prediction ?

    Are we in Minority report ?

    upload_2022-12-22_23-47-13.jpeg
     
    Last edited: Dec 22, 2022
    #11     Dec 22, 2022
    beginner66 likes this.
  2. Bad_Badness

    Bad_Badness

    Psychology Forum: Thinking that you can trade from a phone is HUBRIS. Get over it and learn to use real tools.
     
    #12     Dec 22, 2022
  3. Darc

    Darc

    Incorrect, you can Trade on your phone. I called that SPX fall by seeing the hourly SPX pattern and other indicators (ie Put/Call ratio etc) while on my phone. While a phone isn't optimal, if a person is at work etc they have to use it.

    Dan Zanger made millions trading off his phone at Work. I've made thousands too.
     
    #13     Dec 22, 2022
    taowave likes this.
  4. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    You could trade from your phone back in 1998-2000 ?

    I remember playing Snake.
    Had no robinhood app.

    upload_2022-12-23_0-23-20.jpeg

    Have you guys seen $BB blackberry ?
     
    #14     Dec 22, 2022
  5. Zwaen

    Zwaen

    Don't you guys do all your python analysis on your watch nowadays? Crazy :rolleyes:
     
    #15     Dec 22, 2022
    Sekiyo likes this.
  6. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Off a cell splains a lot about OP "curious" topics.
     
    #16     Dec 22, 2022
  7. Aisone

    Aisone

    Not knowing anything that you're referring to, I concur. Many times, specifically with the patterns I look at, the most recent period or bar is one of the most relevant, but one won't know the full data representation of that bar until the bar closes. So if it is a daily chart, there is a lot that can still happen in that final day. If it is short term and a one minute chart, it can be the most volatile minute in one's analysis. And waiting until it is complete, the market could have already corrected. That's at least how it affects me and the patterns I look at.
     
    #17     Dec 22, 2022
  8. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown

    what platform do you use and what market and type of chart do you use?
     
    #18     Dec 22, 2022
  9. qlai

    qlai

    It sounds to me like you are not sure what you are looking for in the first place. You should know ahead of time what you want to see. For example, below is one of the patterns I would look for around the open:

    Name: First pull back to vwap
    Description: After a strong opening drive, price pulls back (orderly - not violently) to vwap(should be around opening price), stalls, rejects.
    Reasoning: First chance to enter for most retail day traders that missed initial run. Possibly a first leg of a trend day.

    Create more specific rules around that and do not take it unless all the boxes are checked.
     
    #19     Dec 23, 2022
  10. taowave

    taowave

    If you look at tge chart patterns in trading books,the examples are always shown with the hard right edge.Simply put,the pattern is fully developed,and there is new data illustrating how the stock traded well after the pattern formation.

    Notice they never show charts as the pattern is unfolding. There's a very good reason for it.Real time pattern recognition is nowhere as clean as when looking at it after the fact. Scale and chart compression/expansion are some of the tricks on the eyeballs.

    Take any charting package and find your favorite pattern that occured 3 months ago..Clear as day..Now go back in time 4 months to the first bar of the pattern.Scroll foward one day at a time...Scrambled eggs,is it not???

    There's a reason I prefer horizontal lines:)



     
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2022
    #20     Dec 23, 2022
    Darc and Zwaen like this.